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ATP Finals: Alexander Zverev vs. Hubert Hurkacz Betting Picks

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  • Snize
ATP Finals: Alexander Zverev vs. Hubert Hurkacz Betting Picks
Germany's Alexander Zverev reacts during his first round singles match of the ATP Finals against Russia's Daniil Medvedev. Photo by Marco Bertorello/AFP.

It all comes down to this: win and you’re in, lose and you’re out! A decisive battle for an ATP Finals semifinal berth will ensue between Alexander Zverev and Hubert Hurkacz on Thursday. We dive into it with our ATP Finals: Zverev vs Hurkacz picks.

Coming into the ATP Finals, Zverev felt his fantastic year hadn’t garnered enough praise from the tennis community. With a whopping five titles, including the Olympic Gold medal, and 55 matches won, he tops the charts in both categories. Following a retirement win against home hope Matteo Berrettini, the German now needs one more win to secure his semifinal berth.

Hurkacz still has it all to play for, with a chance at the semifinals still within reach despite already logging two round-robin losses. The big-serving Poland native has been streaky this year, claiming the biggest title of his career at the Miami Masters, and reaching a Wimbledon semifinal. He will not discount his chances to level the peggings against Zverev (0-1 head-to-head on clay).

Here are my picks and predictions for Thursday’s ATP Finals matchup between Zverev and Hurkacz (odds via Unibet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Zverev vs. Hurkacz Match Info

Date/Time: Thursday, November 18, 8 a.m. ET
TV: Tennis Channel
Location: Turin, Italy

Zverev vs. Hurkacz  Picks

Over 22.5 games (+106)  ★★
First set Over 12.5 games (+350) ★

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Zverev vs. Hurkacz Predictions

Over 22.5 games (+106)

Embodying a player archetype that is starting to take over the men's game, the unique mix of super server and long-legged counter puncher makes Zverev incredibly tough to beat.

Having put the days when he could double fault more than 10(!) times per match behind him, utilizing his thunderous serve, defensive skills, and solidity from the back of the court - Sascha takes quite some beating in current form. Daniil Medvedev, a fellow super server-counter puncher, had to squeak out a deciding set tiebreaker to defeat the 24-year-old on Tuesday. 

A player that has a solid matchup against the aforementioned Medvedev is actually Hurkacz. Only an inch shorter than both the Russian and Zverev, he brings many of those same elements into play.

While Zverev doesn't hit the ball as flatly as Medvedev, who the Pole took to the distance on Sunday, he doesn't slug the ball as hard as Jannik Sinner (whom Hurkacz lost to 2-6, 2-6 on Tuesday) does on a regular basis, either.

Don't write off another long affair at plus money.

First set Over 12.5 games (+350)

Thus far this ATP Finals week, Zverev has been involved in a tiebreak in a whopping three of his four completed sets. 

With the court speed being lightning quick in Turin, a big serve all but ends the point, and if not, the follow-up strike does. First strike tennis has been a point of emphasis as a result.

Though Zverev in particular has the return to neutralize the Hurkacz serve, getting into return games isn't going to be easy for either player. 

The big Pole played a first-set tiebreak with Medvedev. If he can put the disappointing Sinner match behind him, the scoreboard could well indicate 6-6 after 45 minutes of play.

SEE ALSO: All ATP Tennis Odds and Lines

Picks made on 11/17/21 at 1:20 p.m. ET.