Find out our two top selections for the US Open - Day 1 where some of the main favorites will get on court, but there are some underdogs who might surprise them.
In the first day of the US Open our two higher value plays are on the women competition where some of the main favorites seem to be overrated.
Maria Sharapova (3) vs. Daria Gavrilova
Maria Sharapova is one of the main contenders for the title and is heavily favorite in her first match against Daria Gavrilova at -357. Maria doesn’t play since Wimbledon due to a leg injury and her preparation hasn’t been the best: “I’m back on the court a little bit, I’m not moving as much as I’d like to yet. It’s still a day-to-day thing. I’m spending a lot of time in the gym and on the massage table and all that” said Sharapova.
Adding to the physical problems, the 2006 US Open champion will have to face a rising star on the WTA. Gavrilova is a former Junior World No. 1 and is already inside the top 50. Daria is a huge fighter, she’s not afraid to play against the top players and has already 3 wins (all this year) over top 10 players in 9 matches. One of those wins was in March against Sharapova 7 – 6 6 – 3 where Gavrilova’s defensive game and great baseline movement was a big problem for Maria. Sharapova ended that match with 18 winners and 34 unforced errors and she’ll have a very hard task here.
Gavrilova will return many shots as usual and force Maria to longer rallies and that’s exactly what the World No. 3 doesn’t want at the time. Sharapova’s movement is not at her best and Garvilova has a great game to explore that.
Dominika Cibulkova vs Ana Ivanovic (7)
Ana Ivanovic reached French Open semi-finals, however since that tournament her level has decreased with a 4 – 4 record.
One of the biggest problems for Ana has been her serve and her service numbers are clearly below her usual. In last year Ana has an average of 59.7% first serve in, 0.35 aces/0.44 double faults per service game and 68.9% service hold. If we look only at last month since her return to Hard Court she has 55.5% first serve in, 0.20 aces/0.61 double faults per service game and 55.4% service hold. The serve is a very important part on Ana’s game and shows a little how she’s feeling about her game and her confidence.
Dominika Cibulkova is not having an easy season with problems on her Achilles heel which required a surgery earlier this year. Dominika has already been competing since June, but has struggled to play a consistent level, however her game suits better Hard Court and she did a nice preparation for this event in New Heaven reaching QF and losing only 5 – 7 in third set with Safarova. Cibulkova is a short player and her second serve is pretty weak, but she has been getting very good numbers lately averaging 68.3% first serve in in last three tournaments.
Ana is the big favorite at -250, but this shouldn’t be an easy match for her. Cibulkova is a very aggressive baseline player and she’ll take good advantage of the low level of Ivanovic on serve to attack and from the baseline she can also generate more pace and play at a higher intensity. One of the keys of match for the Slovakian is her first serve %, she needs to keep above the 65% in order to avoid Ivanovic strong return on her weaker second serve.
The h2h is 2 – 2 with only one match being played on Hard Court Outdoor in 2013 at Carlsbad where Ivanovic won 4 – 6 6 – 3 6 – 2.
Tennis Pick: Cibulkova to win the match at +233 with your tennis picks and also to take a set at -123 are the two higher value bets for this match.