Join us on our tournament analysis of the WTA Aegon Open Nottingham. Find out the main contenders, the player to keep an eye on and the most valuable tennis picks.
It’s incredible how things can change in just one year. Last season, Johanna Konta was ranked outside top 100 and needed a wild card to play this event while this year she’s the 2nd seeded and one of the main favorites to win the title. Konta is a very good player on grass, where her powerful serve and ability to hit the ball early are extremely effective. Johanna shouldn’t experience any major problems on her first two matches against Victoria Duval and Saisai Zheng.
Looking at Konta’s potential opponents in the quarterfinals, Christina McHale is the highest ranked of them; however, the American is far from an expert on grass and is unlikely to see Johanna losing to this opponent. On the semifinals Konta might face Caroline Wozniacki yet, the former world no.1 is far from her best level and this will also be her first tournament since March, with Caroline missing all the clay court season due to an ankle injury. This is a great opportunity for Konta to reach her first WTA final, especially on a tournament played in United Kingdom and for that reason, there is good value on her tennis odds at +400 on bet365.
It hasn’t been an easy year for Karolina Pliskova, aside from her campaign in Indian Wells where she reached the semifinals, the Czech couldn’t live up to the expectations and she’s almost out of top 20 after starting the year as world no.11. Karolina arrives in Nottingham after three consecutive losses, the last one in Roland Garros’ first round against Shelby Rogers.
The fast conditions on grass suit Karolina’s powerful serve however, the lower ball bounce is far from good for Pliskova, who is a very tall player and likes to play in conditions where the ball bounces high, like in Indian Wells, for example. Looking at Karolina’s draw this week, there are some dangerous players on her half of the draw like her sister, Krystina Pliskova, Yanina Wickmayer, Zarina Diyas, Heather Watson or Monica Puig. Due to Karolina’s poor form lately, the good grass players on her half of the draw and the tricky game conditions on grass, we believe there is no value on her price to win this event at +400 on bet365.
Player to keep an eye on
Zarina Diyas loves to compete on fast game conditions where her ability to hit the ball very early is extremely effective. Looking at Zarina’s numbers, the Kazakh won 71.11% of the games played throughout her career on grass while her overall winning record is only 59.37%. It won’t be an easy journey for Zarina in Nottingham, with Diyas starting her campaign against the former world no.12, Yanina Wickmayer.
On the following round, Diyas shouldn’t experience many problems against Shuai Peng, who has struggled with several physical issues and is far from her best level. As we mentioned earlier, Zarina is on Pliskova’s half of the draw and the two might face in the quarterfinals. Even though Karolina’s favoritism for that contest, Zarina’s ability to hit the ball early will explore Pliskova’s weaker baseline movement and we might witness an upset on this match. No doubts that Zarina has a very difficult mission and is unlikely to see her winning the title yet, she might do a good run on this event and we suggest adding the player from Kazakhstan to your tennis picks on this event.