Join our expert tennis capper for his tennis betting analysis for the WTA Indian Wells. Find out who the defending champion is, as well as the player to keep an eye and to fade on this event.
WTA Indian Wells
The BNP Paribas Open takes place in Indian Wells with Hard Court as the chosen surface for this WTA Premier Mandatory event.
Against all expectations, Elena Vesnina won her first WTA Premier Mandatory title at the 2017 BNP Paribas Open. Playing in the California desert brings the best out of Vesnina with the 31-year-old winning also three doubles titles throughout her career on this event. Nevertheless, the last months haven’t been easy for the Russian with the world No.24 winning only 44.44% of the matches played in 2018.
Despite Vesnina’s lack of success in recent months, it’s impossible to ignore her brilliant results in Indian Wells. On the other hand, the sportsbooks offer a very interesting price for Elena to start her 2018 BNP Paribas Open campaign with a victory over Catherine Bellis. For that reason, our advice is for you to add Vesnina moneyline to your betting picks at +178 at BetOnline due to the tremendous value on this line.
Player to Fade
Serena Williams returned to action after a 14-month absence with a 7 – 5 6 – 3 victory over Zarina Diyas. At the age of 36, Serena is eager to break Margaret Court’s record of 24 major titles. Nevertheless, the 23-time Grand Slam champion seems far from impressive on her comeback with 27 winners and 34 unforced errors. Adding to this, Williams only won 62.86% of the points behind her first serve.
Serena returns to action this Saturday against Kiki Bertens. The sportsbooks expect a straightforward win from the American with BetOnline offering only -435 for Serena’s victory. Even though we agree with Williams’ favoritism, it’s impossible to find any value on her current price. Adding to this, the two-time champion has a very difficult draw with tough opponents such as Elina Svitolina, Caroline Wozniacki or Angelique Kerber on her half. With this in mind, our recommendation is for you to fade the American in Indian Wells, starting with Kiki’s +5.5 spread in the following round at -130 at 5Dimes.
Player to Keep an Eye
Victoria Azarenka made a victorious return to the WTA with a straight sets victory over Heather Watson in her first match since Wimbledon last year. The two-time champion can’t leave California due to an ongoing custody battle over her son. Despite long absence, the 28-year-old eased past the British No.2 in less than two hours. Known as one of the greatest returners in tennis history, Azarenka won 52.31% of the points played on Watson’s serve. Adding to this, the Belarussian saved 10 of 12 break points, including all eight she faced in the second set.
Taking a look now at Azarenka’s draw on this event, the former world No.1 won’t have an easy task in the following round against Sloane Stephens. Despite Sloane’s undeniable quality, the 2017 US Open champion only won 18.18% of the matches since her triumph in New York. On the other hand, Azarenka didn’t drop a single set in all their previous three official encounters. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Victoria’s tennis betting odds to win this match at -159 at Pinnacle. For those who want to take a higher risk, placing a small bet on Azarenka to lift the trophy in Indian Wells at +3300 at William Hill is also an interesting approach for this tournament.