We are excited to share our free WTA tennis picks for Day 4 of the French Open, which features a dangerous underdog with Camila Giorgi, offered at +275 odds.
How Are We Doing: First Round Betting Recap
We got off to a strong start with Monday's round of French Open betting, by picking all three matches we spotted correctly. Cornet came through as the -138 favourite in three sets over Roberta Vinci and Sharapova edged Kanepi in straight sets. The tennis pick that has pride of place on the day's round was the upset by Sloane Stephens over Venus Williams, which was trading at +157 tennis odds.
On Tuesday's tennis betting card we spotted five matches and went 4-1 on our picks. Kvitova, -1200 fave, came through in three sets (which was priced at +350) and Serena Williams (-5000 to win in the first round) came through in straight sets at -800. Petkovic also came through as our tennis pick to win as did our dog pick of the day Kristina Mladenovic at +150, who upset Eugenie Bouchard of Canada. The only tennis picks that went against us was Bencic, who beat Hantuchova quite comfortably.
So with an 8-1 record on the women's front, we look ahead to Wednesday's Day 4 of the tournament and a few second round matches.
Lucie Safarova -700 vs. Kurumi Nara +450
It'll be the first-ever meeting between No.13 Safarova and No.55 Kurumi Nara when they collide in the second round. By the tennis odds, it's shaping up to be a straightforward clash that the left-handed Czech should win at -700 over the diminutive (5'1") Japanese hopeful. Backing Safarova on your tennis pick is a sound choice at -700, but the better value bet is found in a straight set win at -200 tennis odds.
Tennis Picks: Safarova to win at -700 and in straight sets at -200
Vitalia Diatchenka +1100 vs. Maria Sharapova -3300
Nobody that follows tennis avidly is going to be surprised by the overarching market on this second round clash between defending champion Sharapova and compatriot Vitalia Diatchenka. That said it's an all-Russian affair and that national component sometimes can be tricky for both parties. The consummate professional that Sharapova is, she should take her opponent seriously and come out firing at all cylinders. Expect a straight set win here, which is priced at much better -700 tennis odds.
Tennis Picks: Sharapova to win in straight sets at -700
Alize Cornet -138 vs. Alexandra Dulgheru +100
A feisty Alize Cornet dismissed Roberta Vinci in the first round, marking her first win in five attempts against the Italian. With the French crowd behind her, Cornet will look to book a spot in the third round at the expense of Romanian Alexandra Dulgheru, who is trading at EVEN money. As the tennis betting odds suggest, this is going to be a close contest between two players that are level 1-1 head-to-head. The important titbit: Dulgheru has the most recent win having beaten Cornet in Qatar in three sets. Obviously, the home court advantage and a higher ranking puts Cornet on the favourite side of even money, but tennis doesn't always go to plan. Dulgheru has the confidence from that earlier win to resort to as well as a recent run in Rome that saw her reach the quarterfinals, beating Top 20 players Lucie Safarova and Ekaterina Makarova before losing to fellow countrywoman Simona Halep. If Dulgheru can take that form into this match, she could mastermind the upset. Keep in mind, Cornet is going to have the pressure of playing at home, which is a mental obstacle that can be tougher to overcome than the opponent physically on the other side of the net.
Tennis Picks: Dulgheru +100 to win outright
Garbine Muguruza -400 vs. Camila Giorgi +275
Spanish rising star Garbine Muguruza takes on a dangerous floater in Camila Giorgi in the second round. If you've never seen Giorgi play, it's worth it. Not only is she buzzing with energy, but the sheer power of her shots is breathtaking. She's actually one of the biggest hitters in the game right now. This penchant to go all-out-broke on her shots – see-ball, bit-ball – can go awry. She can play lights out when she's on. Similarly, she can err her way out of a match and tournament with the same strategy.
A lot depends on how Muguruza handles the occasion being a favourite. She also has a lot of similar qualities with her opponent in that she too goes for broke on her shots. Last year, she beat Serena Williams in the second round in convincing fashion, playing lights out tennis.
While we like everything about Muguruza and believe she can overcome this hurdle, she's going to be the one with the pressure to win. She's still dealing with this newly acquired pressure and not very well, to be truthful. She's not won back-to-back matches since reaching the semi-finals of Dubai in February. That's concerning form in our books.
It's safe to say that the player that harnesses her power and plays within herself is going to win and advance into the third round. The popular tennis pick is going to be Muguruza, but it may surprise some tennis bettors to learn that Giorgi actually owns the 2-0 head-to-head edge over Muguruza: one on clay (2013 Madrid) and one on hard courts (New Haven 2014). Both games were three set affairs as well.
So given Muguruza's form and Giorgi's head-to-head edge, this one is a tossup in our books. Muguruza should win, but we're leaning towards the Italian firecracker to come through with the upset. With no pressure on her as the underdog, she can hit freely. As long as she doesn't go for too much and picks her spots wisely.
Tennis Free Picks: Giorgi +275
Marjana Lucic-Baroni +1200 vs. Simona Halep -2500
Simona Halep trails Marjana Lucic-Baroni 0-1 after losing to the Croatian at the US Open in straight sets. Halep will be looking to level the score in this match and for obvious reasons she gets the nod on the tennis odds board. After all, she's the No.3 player in the world and last year's runner-up at the French Open. What's more she has form coming into the French Open having reached the semis in Rome over a week ago. By all accounts, Halep should win this match. However, don't write off Lucic-Baroni too quickly. Having beaten Halep last year, she might fancy her chances to make a first of it here. Should be a close two-setter or, potentially, a three-setter.
Tennis Picks: Halep to win at -2500 and in three sets at +500