WTA Australian Open - Tournament Analysis & Free Picks

Serena Williams

Sunday, January 15, 2017 6:02 PM GMT

The best players in the world start fighting for the WTA Australian Open glory this Monday. Join us on our tournament analysis and find out our highest value tennis bets for this competition. 

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As usual, Serena Williams is the main favorite to lift the trophy in Melbourne. After winning so many titles throughout her career there is only one thing that motivates Serena continue – winning more Grand Slam titles. After matching Steffi Graf with 22 Grand Slam trophies, William is now just two titles away from Margaret Court’s record with 24.

Besides Serena, the world no.1 and defending champion – Angelique Kerber – is the other top contender to win the title. The German featured a phenomenal 2016 with two Grand Slam titles and one final; however, it won’t be easy for Kerber to repeat the success. Playing with the no.1 status can change everything. Not only is the pressure of winning higher but the opponents are also much more motivated to win. Angelique’s results in 2017 are a good example of that with the German winning only 1 of the 3 matches played so far this season.

The average level on WTA is quite high nowadays, which makes it hard for a defensive player like Kerber to keep winning week after week. On the other hand, Serena’s firepower is always a huge weapon and she can overplay anyone on the tour.

Looking now to the outright markets, things are quite close with Serena available at +300 at William Hill while BetVictor offers +450 for Kerber’s victory. Even though Serena seems to have a tougher draw, her price is too good to stay away. Therefore, we recommend you to add Williams to your betting picks to win this event.

 

Top Contenders

Besides Serena and Kerber, there is a group of players who might feature a surprise in this Australian Open.

Karolina Pliskova is definitely a player to keep an eye on. The 2016 US Open runner-up started the year with a brilliant campaign in Brisbane, winning her 7th career title. The Czech has a good draw to make it into the quarter-finals where she might meet Agnieszka Radwanska. The Polish is a terrible match-up for her with a 7 – 0 lead on the h2h.

Karolina is currently at +200 at Bet365 to win the 3rd quarter while Agnieszka is available at +300 at Ladbrokes. Both players have a good draw to make it into the quarter-finals and due to Radwanska’s edge over the Czech, the value is clearly on Agnieszka’s betting odds to win the 3rd quarter.

Garbine Muguruza is other of the top contenders to win the Australian Open title. The 2016 French Open champion is always a dangerous opponent due to her tremendous firepower. The courts in Melbourne also suit her game style with the high bouncing allowing Garbine to hit the ball at a perfect height. Despite all these, Muguruza is a very unpredictable player and after her recent injury in Brisbane, the best approach is to avoid placing any bet on Garbine’s outright.

 Player to Keep an Eye

With an outstanding 26 – 9 career record in Melbourne Park, Ekaterina Makarova is always a fearful opponent on this event. Makarova is still looking for her first triumph in 2017 after losing in the opening round in Brisbane and Sydney. Despite Ekaterina’s poor results so far, she always finds her best tennis on this competition.

Looking now to Makarova’s draw on this event, the 2015 semi-finalist starts her campaign against another Russian player – Ekaterina Alexandrova – in a match where she’s the main favorite.

In the following rounds things will get tougher for Ekaterina with tough opponents on her path such as Sara Errani, Dominika Cibulkova and Johanna Konta. Even though this is far from an easy draw, Makarova proved to be an extremely valuable investment throughout the years on this event. For that reason, we suggest you to place a bet on Ekaterina in every round until she loses.