WTA Australian Open Day 3: Main Favorite Spread Betting Analysis

João Mourato

Monday, January 18, 2016 7:40 PM GMT

Find out our WTA Australian Open Day main favorite betting analysis. We'll provide the highest value tennis bets and also the best books to place your tennis pick.

Serena Williams (1) vs Su-Wei Hsieh
It was far from an easy first match for Serena Williams, but the world no.1 managed to overcome Camila Giorgi in straight sets. The American seemed fully recovered from her knee problems, saying after the match that she played without any pain. Serena ended the match with outstanding numbers on serve: 9 aces and 76.36% points won on serve.  

After a remarkable comeback against Jelena Ostapenko, Su-Wei Hsieh booked a place into Australian Open quarterfinals. Hsieh was down by 3 – 6 0 – 4, but found a way to emerge victorious against a very erratic opponent. This will be Hsieh’s 11th career match against a top 10 opponent, losing the previous ten and winning only one set.

Serena said she would improve throughout the tournament and this should be a good match for her. With Serena serving at such great level, she’ll feel extremely comfortable to attack Hsieh’s weak service. The spread is at -7.5 (-108) on Pinnacle and we suggest to add this line to your tennis picks.

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Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sharapova (5)
Maria Sharapova started her campaign at an impressive level, especially on serve, firing 11 aces and committing only 2 double faults. Maria’s serve is a great indicator of her confidence and it was a brilliant performance from the Russian against Nao Hibino. The conditions in Melbourne suit Sharapova’s game style, with the higher ball bounce allowing Maria to hit the ball at perfect height.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich reached the 2nd round of a Grand Slam event for the third time on her career. Sasnovich is a super aggressive baseline player, trying to hit the ball very early with her flat groundstrokes. Aliaksandra showed all her aggressive mindset on her first round, winning 72% of points on second serve return against Evgeniya Rodina.

As we mentioned in our Day 1 Main Favorite Spread Analysis, Sharapova likes to face hard hitters like Sasnovich. The Russian should be just too good from the baseline and with Sharapova serving at such great level, it will be incredibly tough for Aliaksandra to stop her. The spread is at -7.0 (-123) on Pinnacle and we advise to take this valuable tennis odds.

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Carla Suarez Navarro (10) vs Maria Sakkari (q)
The year of 2015 was Carla Suarez Navarro’s best career season, but the Spaniard struggled to keep the good results on the last months of 2015. Suarez Navarro is known for her terrific groundstrokes and delightful one-handed backhand, however she’s also known for not being very strong mentally. Carla’s first round was far from impressive, ending the match against Viktorija Golubic with 14 winners / 37 unforced errors.

This is Maria Sakkari’s second Grand Slam appearance, with the Greek reaching the main draw for the second time. Adding to this, Sakkari defeated Yafan Wang on the first round by 6 – 4 1 – 6 6 – 3. Maria likes to control the points with her forehand and despite playing more often on clay, she’s recording her best results on Hard Court.

No doubts that Carla deserves to be the favorite, however she’s clearly overrated for this contest. The Spaniard has been far from her best since June 2015 and her stats on first round are a good example of that. Sakkari has nothing to lose, she’s a tremendous fighter and won’t go down easily. Carla’s spread is at -6.5 (-105) on Pinnacle and we strongly advise to avoid betting on this line.

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