World Cup Betting: Will Mexico Survive the Group Stage?

Richard O'Hagan

Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:47 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 16, 2014 4:47 PM UTC

It was difficult for Mexico to at least qualify for the World Cup, and their future continues to look bleak. A tough group stage will take them into an even tougher R16 match-up. Can Mexico find a way to win?


Mexico, it is fair to say, did not have the best of qualifying tournaments. Always backed to be comfortable winners of the CONCACAF contest, especially after their triumph at the 2012 London Olympics, they won only two of their ten games in the final phase and only just scraped into Brazil 2014 via a playoff against New Zealand.

That lack of recent form makes it very hard to back this team. They are drawn in Group A alongside Brazil and Croatia, as a result of which they are a best price of 1.83 with BetVictor not to make it out of the group.

The only real hope here is that history may turn out to be on their side. In the last two South American World Cup Finals they have reached the quarter finals, including the 1986 competition played in Mexico itself. The downside is that even second place in the group lands them a last sixteen tie against (probably) either Spain or Holland, so whilst the romantic bet at 11.0 on them going out in the quarter final looks a good price, a more practical one is 3.25 with on a second round elimination.

The best bet of all might be to back against them qualifying at all and combine that by looking at how many group points they would score. With Cameroon the fourth side in the group, it is not unfeasible that the Mexicans could leave Brazil early and with no points at all, which is currently priced at 13.0 with BetVictor. Indeed, with a solitary point on offer at 6.0 and two points at 9.5, there’s a little room to stag the market if you so wish, but on form you would have to say that it is more likely that they lose all three games than manage two draws.

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