World Cup Betting: Ecuador Must Improve Play to Survive

Richard O'Hagan

Saturday, March 15, 2014 6:45 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 15, 2014 6:45 PM UTC

The Ecuadorian team will not have it easy in the Group Stage of the 2014 World Cup as they face two skilled European teams. They will have to play much better than they did in qualifiers to have any chance at advancing.


Let us not beat around the bush here. Just getting out of Group E would be a major achievement for the Euadoreans. They finished fourth in South American qualifying, grabbing that final place on goal difference, but failed to win a single away game. This is only their third appearance in the final stages of a World Cup, and they have two strong European teams in Switzerland and France to overcome. It will be a major surprise for them to qualify from this group, even though the best price you can get on them doing so is 2.0 with BetVictor.

Getting out of the group will probably need a fancied team to have a complete meltdown. Fortunately for Ecuador, that is exactly what France did in both 2002 and 2010, so there is hope that they could repeat their own 2006 run and make it to the second round. If you want to risk a little money on that, Ladbrokes will give a quite-generous 3.2 on Ecuador going out at that stage.

The best value bet on this team, though, is almost certainly on the total points that they will score in this group. Stan James currently offer 5.25 on them scoring three points and it is very easy to see them beating Honduras but then going down to the French and the Swiss. The same bookmaker will give you 9.5 on them only drawing one game, again a possibility, and 29.0 on them losing all three matches – a reasonable proposition given than none of the games is in Quito!

Ecuador’s main attacking threat will be Felipe Caicedo, and he is priced at just 2.5 to be their top goalscorer. That makes the better bet in this market his strike partner, Jefferson Montero, at 6.0, whilst you can ignore the better-known Antonio Valencia, as Ecuador now play him mostly as a winger, supplying Caicedo and Montero with goals.

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