Jordan’s WNBA Picks 0-4
Indiana Fever vs Chicago Sky
Friday, June 21, 2019 – 08:00 PM EDT
My Pick: Sky 1H and full game ATS
Recommended Sportsbook: Heritage
Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky
Our first two days of WNBA Picks have gone in the trash, but it’s a very long season and our analytical betting will get more reliable as the season goes on.
With that in mind, I’m going back to a matchup I’ve seen once this season in Indiana. The Fever started off hot at home against the Sky last week, but the Sky’s defense has started to ramp up and the other 11 teams need to take notice.
This has been especially true over the Sky’s recent win streak. Over their last four SU wins, the Sky are holding opponents to 85.2 points per 100 possessions in the first half and 91.8 points per 100 possessions overall.
The Fever, on the other hand, have started to lose their hot defensive start to the season. Over their last four games, Indiana has allowed 104.3 points per 100 possessions, which is the worst mark of any team over their last four games.
Not only has their defense struggled against higher-octane offenses, but they also could be without one of their more reliable scoring assets again tonight. Natalie Achonwa missed the Fever’s recent matinee game against the Dream and if she misses again, I’m afraid the Fever won’t have enough scoring to match the Sky’s upstart offense and improving defense.
I’m laying the points with the Sky, both in the first half and the game.
L.A. Sparks vs Seattle Storm
Friday, June 21, 2019 – 10:30 PM EDT
My Pick: Storm 1H ML
Recommended Sportsbook: Pinnacle
Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm
Out of their nine games to start the season, the Storm have played just two at home. That will change tonight as they welcome in the Sparks on Friday. LA has struggled to open the season, but they just got back Candace Parker in their most recent blowout loss to the Mystics, so maybe another few days of practice could help the new-look Sparks and their consistency on offense.
However, against a team like the Storm, that may be easier said than done. We’ve mentioned before how hard it is early in the season for W teams to get on the same page. Add in the addition of Chiney Ogwumike to start the season with the return of Parker recently, and the Sparks are being forced to build chemistry on the fly.
This has been evident in the Sparks ability to score early in games. LA has only an 88.9 offensive rating in the first halves of their eight games this season and in the first quarter that drops to 72.9, the worst in the WNBA.
Enter the Storm, who of course are still missing two of their best players, but also are still a very good team. Natasha Howard is almost a lock to make the All-Star team and the combination of Jordin Canada and Jewell Loyd have done an outstanding job holding down the backcourt while Sue Bird makes her way back from injury.
With this in mind, I think the Storm are the play here in the first half. LA has only a 42.5 effective field goal percentage in the first half this season, so if they continue to struggle with their offensive consistency, the Storm should have little problem building a first half lead at home.