With Louisville's Chris Jones Suspended, Pick 'Under' for NCAA Basketball Pick at Syracuse

Wednesday, February 18, 2015 3:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2015 3:17 PM UTC

Two years ago Louisville & Syracuse met in the Big East Conference tournament championship game; Wednesday night they meet for the first time as ACC rivals. Here's our breakdown of this contest, and our free NCAAB pick.

<p><strong>Louisville Cardinals vs. Syracuse Orange Betting Odds</strong><br /> Most of the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ncaa-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Shop around for NCAA Basketball odds that are right for you">NCAA Basketball odds</a> opened this game with Louisville favored by three points, the total offered at 130.5. In the early betting many books dropped the spread to -2.5, but bumped the total to 131.5.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Cardinals-Orange: Another New Rivalry</strong><br /> Louisville started 12-1 this season, with wins over Ohio State and Indiana, the only loss coming against still-unbeaten Kentucky. The Cardinals then began ACC play 7-2, the losses coming by one point at <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/ncaa-basketball-pick-unc-vs-duke-blue-devils-favored-over-tar-heels/54328/" target="_blank" title="Check out our free pick for North Carolina vs. Duke">North Carolina and vs. Duke</a>. But the 'Ville has lost two of its last three contests, following Saturday's 74-65 upset loss at home against North Carolina State.</p> <p>The Cardinals, favored by 10 points, led Saturday's game by a point at halftime, but for the first time this season gave up a halftime lead and lost. For the game Louisville shot just 33 percent from the field.</p> <p>Just before that the Cardinals beat Pitt at home 69-56, covering as 10-point favorites; just before that they lost at Virginia 52-47 but covered as seven-point underdogs.</p> <p>At 20-5 overall, 8-4 in conference play Louisville is tied for fourth place in the ACC with North Carolina, 3.5 games behind first-place Virginia. It's also <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/ncaa-tournament-betting-last-four-in-first-four-out/54222/" target="_blank" title="NCAA Tournament Betting on Last Four In, First Four Out">almost a shoo-in for the NCAA tournament</a>.</p> <p>Syracuse went 9-4 through non-conference play, with a win over Iowa but losses to Cal, Michigan, St. John's and Villanova. The Orange then got to 5-1 in ACC play, but have since lost four of their last six games, after fading late in <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/home-dog-upset-alert-ncaa-basketball-odds-syracuse-7-over-duke/54238/" target="_blank" title="Revisit our prediction for Duke vs. Syracuse here">an 80-72 loss at home to Duke Saturday</a>.</p> <p>Syracuse led the Blue Devils by double-digits in the first half, fell down by 11 in the second, rallied to get within four points late but gave up the cover on two Duke free-throws with 10 seconds left. Meanwhile, the Orange made just six of 13 free-throws Saturday. There goes the cover.</p> <p>Just before that Syracuse won at Boston College 70-56, covering as a two-point favorite, while just before that it lost at Pitt 83-77 as a four-point underdog.</p> <p>At 16-9 overall, 7-5 in conference play Syracuse sits in sixth place in the ACC, but none of that really matters, now that the program has so bravely self-imposed a postseason ban for this year.</p> <p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/ncaa-basketball-picks-rivalry-night-s-best-plays-over-under-total/54341/" target="_blank" title="NCAA Basketball Picks: Rivalry Night's Best Plays Over &amp; Under the Total"><em>Tonight's top plays 'Over/Under' NCAA Basketball Odds includes Lousville-Syracuse.</em></a></p> <p><strong>Key Numbers</strong><br /> Louisville is shooting just 43 percent from the field this season, just 31 percent from 3-point range and 68 percent from the FT line. At the other end of the floor the Cardinals are holding opponents to just 38 percent shooting, which ranks 10th-best in the country.</p> <p>Syracuse is shooting 44 percent from the floor, just 32 percent from long range and 65 percent from the line, while holding foes to just under 40 percent FG shooting.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Betting Trends</strong><br /> Louisville is 10-11 on the OVER/UNDERS this season, as Cardinals games have averaged 131 points.</p> <p>Syracuse is 12-6 on the totals, as Orange games have averaged 133 points.</p> <p>Louisville is 4-3 ATS in true road games this season.</p> <p>Syracuse is 3-9 ATS at home.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Injury Update</strong><br /> <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/fantasy-sports-betting-contests/3056667-louisville-point-guard-chris-jones-suspended.html?slf=64" target="_blank" title="Louisville Point Guard Chris Jones Suspended">Louisville G Chris Jones</a>, who averaging 14 points, four boards and four assists PG this season, has been suspended for a “team rules” thing, and will miss this game, and maybe more.</p> <p>Over on the other side of the scorer's table Syracuse is without 6-10 F Chris McCullough (nine points/seven boards), who tore a knee earlier this month.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Cardinals vs. Orange Prediction</strong><br /> We're tempted to go with Louisville in this spot for our <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Check out these NCAA Basketball picks">NCAA Basketball pick</a>, as they're the better team playing on the road, where the spread is friendlier, but Jones' absence puts the kibosh on that idea. So instead, in thinking this game might devolve into a grinder, we'll go with the UNDER.</p> <p><strong>Free NCAA Basketball Pick:</strong> UNDER 130.5 at <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=1307&amp;book=in-article-bet-online" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Visit BetOnline Sportsbook today">BetOnline</a></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src="http://js.sbrfeeds.com/index.php/article?iframeid=iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426&amp;timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id=361934" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
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