Wimbledon Tennis Picks: Djokovic, Dimitrov and Wawrinka Favored in Day 5, Round 3 Action

Nikki Adams

Thursday, July 2, 2015 10:37 PM GMT

Wimbledon R32 is set to get underway on Friday, with a whole slew of stellar matchups. We cast our eye over favourites Djokovic and Wawrinka in their respective matchups amongst several others.

Novak Djokovic -3300 vs. Bernard Tomic +1400
Djokovic enters his third round match with Bernard Tomic of Australia as the prohibitive favourite at -3300 to win outright . Underscoring those tennis odds is a 3-0 head-to-head edge over Tomic a four set win at the 2011 Wimbledon Championships, 62 36 63 75 in the quarterfinals. As well, sensational form this season overall and a solid start to his Wimbledon campaign. Djokovic reaches the third round, having won both matches convincingly over Kohlschreiber and Nieminen and without dropping a set. In Tomic, though, he'll face his stiffest competition yet. Tougher than the Aussie's +1400 tennis odds would suggest. There are better tennis odds for Djokovic in prop betting markets.

The tournament has already seen several big upsets on both the men and women's front. We've bid farewell to Simona Halep, Eugenie Bouchard, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Rafael Nadal and Fabio Fognini, all of which were dumped out of the tournament by significant long shot tennis picks. Tomic must look upon those results as stimulus for his own potential upset bid over Djokovic. What makes Tomic a potential gatecrasher is his healthy disrespect for the games' big names. He thrives on the big stage. Loves to talk the big talk. It remains to be seen whether he can walk the walk on Centre Court. One thing is for certain, he's sure to have fans in the crowd – Aussie fans have been making a lot of noise at Wimbledon. That could grate on Djokovic as well.

 

Tennis Betting Verdict 
t's most likely that Djokovic will win this match and advance into the fourth round, so for tennis bettors looking to back the Serbian starlet take him to pull off the feat either in straight sets at -333 or four sets at +333.

For upset mongers, Tomic does have a slim shot to pull off the feat, but it would be the biggest upset of the tournament make no mistake. That means he'd have to play the match of his life though to come through as the +1400 long shot tennis pick. If you're looking to bank on Tomic as an outside tennis pick, a 3-1 or 3-2 win is trading at +2800 and +2500  tennis odds, respectively. If he's to pull off the feat, it's more likely he'll do it in four or five sets.  

Tennis Picks: Djokovic to win 3-1 at +333

 

Grigor Dimitrov -150 vs. Richard Gasquet +120
Richard Gasquet has a steller 4-0 head-to-head edge over Grigor Dimitrov, yet he enters this third round clash as the nominal +120 underdog. What gives? Granted Gasquet ranks at No. 20 behind No.11 Dimtrov, but the Frenchman is enjoying sensational form this season behind a 21-8 mark ahead of Wimbledon. What's more, he moves into the third round without dropping a set and dispatching Lukas Saville and De Scheepers with brutal efficiency. In the first round, he dropped seven games. In the second round, he dropped just six games. If Gasquet takes that sort of form into his third round encounter with Dimitrov, he should prove to be the savvy tennis pick.

Dimitrov, a semi-finalist at Wimbledon last year, has a lot of points to defend at The Championships this year. That amounts to pressure, something he hasn't proven he can deal with yet from year-to-year. Case-and-point: a fortnight ago, he failed to defend his Queen's Club crown. Dimitrov's form is a bit concerning as a result, which takes the shine off his -150 tennis odds.

 

Tennis Betting Verdict
Dimitrov comes into Wimbledon on questionable form. It's up to him to make it a moot point, though. He's come through the first two rounds with relative ease. But in Gasquet he faces a player he's never beaten, which begs the question: why is he the favourite? In any event, this is a match that could go either way. For our money, Gasquet is the better tennis pick. We might be wrong, but we're casting our lot with the Frenchman anyway.

Tennis Picks: Gasquet +120 at 5Dimes

 

Stanislas Wawrinka -600 vs. Fernando Verdasco +400
Wawrinka has gone through the first two rounds with the efficiency of a two-time Grand Slam champion and sets himself up rather well for a third round clash against Fernando Verdasco, who has had to battle it out in back-to-back five set marathons. Predictably, Wawrinka is the firm -600 favourite.

Verdasco survived the first round 13-11 in the fifth set over Martin Klizan. Then he gutted it out over Dominic Thiem with a 6-4 win in the fifth on Wednesday. He's obviously spent more than twice the time Wawrinka has on court already, which is sure to put him at a slight disadvantage. Where he does have a tiny advantage is on paper; he leads their head-to-head 2-1. That said, they last met in 2012, before Wawrinka reinvented himself as a player, and all three meetings were on clay.

Given the month Wawrinka has had, he really should win this match and come through as the -600 favourite. Verdasco could make it interesting if he takes a set off Wawrinka at least, so we're leaning towards Wawrinka to win 3-1 at +275 on our tennis picks.

Tennis Picks: Wawrinka to win 3-1 at +275