Sam Querrey vs. Andrey Rublev
Thursday, July 4, London
Free Tennis Pick: Andrey Rublev +2.5 Set Handicap
Recommended Sportsbook: Pinnacle
Former Wimbledon semifinalist Sam Querrey claimed another Top 10 win at the All England Club. The San Francisco native battled back from a set down to beat No.5 seed Dominic Thiem 6-7(4), 7-6(1), 6-3, 6-0 in two hours and 29 minutes. As we mentioned in our Wimbledon Day 2 analysis, Querrey missed the entire European clay-court season due to an abdominal injury, which is the main reason why he’s currently outside the Top 60. Nevertheless, the 31-year-old enjoyed a great start to the grass-court season, reaching the final of the Nature Valley International in Eastbourne. Adding to this, Querrey has been one of the most successful players at the All England Club in recent years with an impressive 12-3 record on this event since 2016.
Querrey will next take on Andrey Rublev for a place in the third round of Wimbledon. The former junior world No.1 also missed the second Grand Slam of the season due to a wrist injury but this is already his third tournament on the grass-court season. Known as one of the most powerful players on the ATP Tour, the fast court conditions on grass suit Rublev’s style. The 21-year-old Moscow native produced a solid performance in the opening round to beat Christian Garin 4-6, 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 on Tuesday. Andrey’s firepower proved too much for Garin to handle with 40 winners to just 27 unforced errors.
The sportsbooks are well aware of Sam’s outstanding results on this event with the American as the heavy favorite to win this match at -406 with BetOnline. However, it’s hard to find value on Querrey’s tennis betting odds against such a dangerous player on these conditions. Rublev is a very tough matchup for big servers and although it’s very hard to break Querrey on this surface, the Russian should have some chances on the American’s serve. On the other hand, Sam struggled to find his first serve on the previous round, ending the match with only 51.11% first-serve in. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Andrey’s +2.5 Set Handicap to your betting picks at -142 with Pinnacle as the best approach for this contest.