Why You Can't Bet Against Errol Spence & Whom He May Face Next

Andreas Hale

Wednesday, June 13, 2018 11:02 AM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 13, 2018 11:02 AM UTC

Errol Spence Jr. fights in his hometown on Saturday and is a huge favorite to defend his IBF welterweight title against Carlos Ocampo. 

Errol Spence Jr. vs. Carlos OcampoFree Boxing Pick: SpenceBest Line Offered: JustBet

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This Saturday, Errol Spence Jr. continues what appears to be an inevitable climb to the top of the pound-for-pound rankings when he defends his IBF welterweight title against Carlos Ocampo in his home state of Texas at The Ford Center at The Star. For those familiar with pro wrestling terms, this is a squash match despite Ocampo sporting an unblemished record of 22-0 with 13 knockouts.

If you’re looking to place a wager on Spence, you’re going to have to cough up a pretty penny. Spence currently sits as a -5400 while Ocampo is a pretty significant underdog at +1800. Some of you may be thinking that it is worth a dart throw in the event that the upset happens, right?

Spoiler Alert: It won’t happen.

Before we explain what the future holds for Spence, let’s take a look at who Ocampo is and why he is virtually unbettable.

For all intents and purposes, Ocampo is simply here to give Spence something to do as he awaits a bigger fight. With the fight being in his backyard, you couldn’t possibly expect him to be paired with a real threat, did you? Not when there’s so much on the table for possible showdowns with the welterweight elite.

Ocampo has fought exclusively in Mexico since making his pro debut back in 2012. He’s remained undefeated for the past six and a half years, but good luck finding a recognizable name on his resume. Perhaps the most recognizable name would be Jorge Paez Jr. But that’s not saying much. Ocampo has only faced an unbeaten fighter three times in his career and hasn’t been terribly impressive against subpar opponents. Spence is in a totally different universe when it comes to talent and is widely recognized as the future of boxing.

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.@ErrolSpenceJr sees a scrap with @budcrawford402 on the horizon 👀#SpenceOcampo @BCusterTV pic.twitter.com/5AK9IqN1wh

— SHOWTIME Boxing (@ShowtimeBoxing) June 12, 2018

He’s only 28, but the legend of Errol Spence Jr. has made its way through the digital universe. From his tooth and nail sparring sessions against Adrien Broner and Floyd Mayweather Jr. to his dominance inside of the ring, there has yet to be a fighter who can pry open any flaws on the Texan. Spence hasn’t allowed an opponent to see the judges’ scorecards in four years and has finished off the likes of Lamont Peterson and Kell Brook in his last two fights. His finishes have all been spectacular as Spence uses his deft boxing ability, power and speed to destroy everyone who has been put in front of him. Rest assured that the same will happen to Ocampo. There’s absolutely nothing here to lead you to believe that +1800 is worth your time.

After Spence presumably disposes of Ocampo, the future will be quite interesting. The fight everyone wants to see is against Keith Thurman. However, between Thurman’s injuries and what appears to be his unwillingness to “rush” into that fight must lead us to believe that it’s a fight that won’t happen until mid to late 2019, at the earliest. Both Shawn Porter and Danny Garcia are intertwined in a WBC title matchup (the title that Thurman vacated due to injury) and will square off this fall. That leaves Terence Crawford. Although it excites us to just think about what a showdown between Spence and Thurman would be like, that option is pretty much off the table due to politics between the fighters’ promoters. Crawford — who looked excellent last week in destroying Jeff Horn — is promoted by Top Rank, while Spence is a Al Haymon/PBC/Showtime boxer. It’s a huge risk for Haymon to put his prized possession on the line when Spence can eye fights with the winner of Porter-Garcia and Thurman for next year.

But it’s only June and you would fully expect Spence to fight again before the end of the year. One option would be a fight with Jessie Vargas. Vargas just came off of a disputed draw with Adrien Broner and is certain to want to get into the 147-pound title picture. Unless they go for an immediate rematch with Broner (which is unlikely), Vargas appears to be the perfect name for Spence to face next. As for Broner, he’s absolutely not looking to take a fight with Spence. He’s a smallish welterweight who hasn’t looked very good at 147 pounds. You’d also have to think that Haymon would prefer to build him back up before putting him in the ring with somebody like Spence, who will surely end him.

Your best bet for this fight is to watch, enjoy and look ahead to what may be an Errol Spence vs. Jessie Vargas showdown before the end of 2018.

There is another fight on the Spence-Ocampo card and that is Daniel Roman defending his WBA super bantamweight title against Moises Flores. Looks can be deceiving here as Roman (24-2-1) is a -650 favorite to retain against the undefeated Flores (25-0), who is +420. You may remember Flores from being knocked out in the first round against Guillermo Rigondeaux last June. But the knockout was ruled a No Contest after it appeared that Rigondeaux landed the finish punch after the bell.

As for Roman, he’s won 16 fights in a row after losing a decision to Juan Reyes back in 2013. He’s been solid, yet not terribly impressive. Nor has he looked like someone who is unbeatable. The question is whether or not Flores can deal with his boxing ability. Roman has proven to be tough as nails and an adequate boxer. Flores can box, but he is going to be facing an opponent that many think can outwork him. There’s not a whole lot of tape on either fighter but Roman is the rightful favorite. The issue is that the Flores at +420 against an opponent who doesn’t have knockout power could get interesting. There’s a chance that Flores steals this, but Roman should earn a decision victory. If you want to take a shot on an underdog, Flores is the much better bet than Ocampo.

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