West Bromwich Albion vs. Aston Villa EPL Soccer Picks

Nila Amerova

Friday, November 22, 2013 7:22 PM GMT

West Bromwich Albion take on Aston Villa in week 12 of Premier League betting. Here are the odds that you should be siding with.


Find out what odds are currently available on this highly anticipated derby and what value soccer picks we’ve put together for your consideration.

A Midlands derby

West Brom Albion are installed as the slight favourites to win at home to Aston Villa albeit odds are running just shy of even money at +115 to win outright at Bet365. Currently sat in tenth spot in the league table, on the back of a 3-5-3 mark through eleven laps, West Brom are in a good place and looking to continue their upward ascendancy.

Livepool vs. Everton will also be playing in the EPL~

West Brom very nearly beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on their last lap. It was really an unfortunate twist that awarded Chelsea the late penalty and forced West Brom to share in the spoils. Nonetheless, there were plenty of positives to take away and they can look to build on that result at the expense of Aston Villa.

West Brom are currently undefeated in two straight games; four of their last five including a 1-1 draw to Arsenal as well. Positive form and staring down some of the big boys in the league successfully augurs well for West Brom so they should be confident of a win here, as should you if you are looking to back them on your soccer picks.

Aston Villa meanwhile are tipped at the disadvantage with soccer odds hovering close to the +300 mark across sportsbooks for an outright win and the draw tipped at +240. The Villans are nipping at West Brom’s heels in the table, in eleventh spot on the back of a 4-2-5 mark but level on points at 14.

Injuries have riddled Paul Lamberts bench all season long, putting pressure on his starting XI. Still they managed to snap a two-game losing streak recently with a scoreless draw to West Ham and a 2-0 win over Crystal Palace. Interestingly, the Villans have a rather good record on the road this season with a 2-2-1 mark to their credit – the first win was the headline-making win over Arsenal at the Emirates to start the season on while the second was a victory over Norwich City. 

West Brom vs. Aston Villa Betting Tips and Picks

Given that the pair are neck-and-neck in the table the derby assumes an added edge and urgency which should be on full display at The Hawthorns on Monday night. At first glance the sports betting market is rather open to interpretation, widely cast as it is. Aston Villa are tipped rather long at +280 at Bet365 for the win but bookies aren’t giving it to West Brom wholeheartedly either with odds just long of even money at +115. So does that mean they’ll cancel each other out by a draw at +240?

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Historically, this derby has played close with most games won decided by just a lone goal, a fact making it a tough one to call. That and overall form is good in both camps as well home and away records reveal barely any edge. Therefore value is to be had on both sides of the coin.

Aston Villa’s inflated price to win on the road is the most tempting but they haven’t beaten a top-ten club since the big win over Arsenal to start the season. So we hesitate to recommend them on the win. If you are looking to back Aston Villa to a meaningful result then perhaps the draw will serve your soccer picks best.

For our money West Brom have been quite impressive and nowhere more so than at Stamford Bridge where they almost handed Jose Mourinho’s Blues a shock defeat. That performance gives them the slightest edge in form over Aston Villa and which combined with home advantage could yield a victory. And so we’re looking to back the hosts at +115 to win outright as our value soccer pick.

Soccer Free Picks: West Brom at +115 to win outright at Bet365