Weekly MLS Look At Three-Way Soccer Odds & Totals

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, May 11, 2016 6:13 PM GMT

Let’s take our weekly thumbnail sketch look at the Three-Way Odds and Totals, along with some basic handicapping info for all 10 matches and offer up some soccer picks for the games.

Friday, May 13, 2016

DC United vs. New York Red Bulls
RFK Stadium, Washington, DC 7 p.m. EDT/4 p.m

3-Way Odds: Orlando City +145, RBNY +180, Draw +240 (Sky Bet)
Total: 2½ Over -150, Under +110 (Paddy Power)

The New York Red Bulls (3-1-6—W-D-L, 13 GF-18 GA) have been the worst Road club so far this Regular Season in the Eastern Conference of the MLS (0-1-4, 2 GF-9 GA) with just 2 Goals scored and a -7 GD away from Home in a league which is incredibly balanced in terms of overall GD/GA with only one team (LA Galaxy +10) way above the even mark and the New England Revolution (-7) the only real bad minus-Goal Differential entrant heading into Wednesday night’s five matches we handicapped earlier in this corner of Cyberspace.

The L5 Meetings in this series (NY 1-0 DC, DC 0-1 NY, NY 3-0, DC 2-2 NY, NY 2-0 DC) have seen just 2 goals in the L2 games—both 1-0 Clean Sheets by RBNY—and the Red Bulls and Bradley Wright-Phillips (3 goals) have actually shut out DCU 4 times in the L5 meetings and have outscored them 9-2 in those five games. But RBNY was more Confident back then although wanting to back a club which has scored in just one of the L5 meetings is tough, no matter where the Site.

New York (3-1-6, 13 GF-18 GA) and Mike Grella (3 goals) should rebound from its bad start but this seems like a good spot for Fabián Espíndola (3 goals), Álvaro Saborío (3 goals) and hosts DC United (2-2-4, 11 GF-13 GA) who are just 2-1-3 (8 GF-7 GA) at RFK heading in here and could really use the Win. This one looks like it fits the draw mold. The Weather Forecast for Washington, DC on Friday night from The Weather Channel (four days out) calls for Partly to Mostly Cloudy conditions, a Low of 57° and light and variable Winds around 5 mph, so pretty nice temperatures for this game and seemingly good conditions and soccer odds for the Over despite 2 straight stone-cold Unders in this Eastern Conference series.

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Final Score Prediction: DC United 1 Red Bulls 1

 

Saturday, May 14, 2016

Montréal Impact vs. Philadelphia Union
Saputo Stadium, Montréal, Quebec, Canada 5 p.m. EDT/2 p.m.

3-Way Odds: Impact +105, Whitecaps +275, Draw +260 (Sky Bet)
Total: 2½ Over -150, Under +110 (Paddy Power)

The Weather Forecast for Montréal on Saturday afternoon calls for Partly Cloudy skies, a low of 44° with WSW Winds of 10-15 mph, so, a little Chilly even for the province of Quebec, but with Ignacio Piatti (6 goals), Dominic Oduro (4 goals)—who got the equalizer at the death at Columbus on Saturday in a freaky 4-4 draw which saw Crew players fighting over a PK when up, 3-1—and Chelsea legend and talisman Didier Drogba (3 goals), goals are expected as you can see by the price on the Over.

The L5 meetings in this series (MTL 0-1 PHI, PHI 2-2 MTL, PHI 2-1 MTL, MTL 1-0 PHI, PHI 1-1 MTL) has seen the Union go 2-2-1 with 2 straight 1-goal Unders played here in Montréal Impact at Saputo Stadium. Chris Pontius (4 goals), CJ Sapong (4 goals) and the Union will be playing on just 2 Days Rest (Thursday-Friday) and will have to deal with the relatively short Travel between Philadelphia and Montréal and with the Impact still high after rallying from a 3-1 deficit at Columbus, expect the homeboys to find a way to win here and Montréal plays so much better with the 38-year-old Drogba in the lineup.

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Final Score Prediction: Impact 3 Union 1
Free Picks: Impact -105 (Sky Bet), Over 2½ -150 (at PaddyPower), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -175 (Paddy Power)

 

New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts 7:30 p.m. EDT/4:35 p.m.

3-Way Odds: NE Revolution -150, Fire +400, Draw +275 (totesport)
Total: 2½ Over 2½ -137, Under +100 (totesport)

The L5 Meetings in this series (CHI 3-1 NE, CHI 2-2 NE, NE 2-0 CHI, NE 2-1 CHI, NE 0-1 CHI) has seen both teams win twice with one Draw with 3 of the L4 going Over with an average of 3.25 gpg in those meetings. Diego Fagundez (3 goals) and New England Revolution (1-7-3, 13 GF-20 GA) rallied from a 3-0 deficit in Carson, California on Sunday against the LA Galaxy, but still lost 3-2 and like the 10th-place Fire (1-4-2, 7 GF-8 GA), have just 1 Win all season as we enter Week 11.

Not good. Chicago and Kennedy Igboananike (3 goals) have played two slogs on the Road (0-2-0, 1 GF-1 GA) so far this season and this game fits the Draw mold and these two clubs actually have 7 Draws in their L12 matches played overall (58.3%). The Weather Forecast for Foxborough on Saturday evening calls for Rain Showers becoming a steady light Rain overnight, a Low of 46° and W Winds 5-10 mph. So, not ideal for Soccer and with Chicago playing two 1-0 games on the Road, the Under is worth consideration.

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Predicted Final Score: Revolution 1 Fire 1
Free Picks: Draw +280 (Sky Bet)

 

Columbus Crew vs. Colorado Rapids
Mapfre Stadium, Columbus, Ohio7:30 p.m. EDT/4:30 p.m.

3-Way Odds: Crew +125, Rapids +212, Draw +240 (Sky Bet)
Total: 2½ Over -125, Under +100 (BetVictor)

The Weather Forecast in the Ohio capital for Saturday night calls for some passing Clouds giving way to generally Clear conditions, a brisk low of 40° with WNW Winds of 14 mph, so again, as has been the theme this Spring, colder and wetter than normal and not ideal for Soccer, although here the 40° temperatures at Mapfre Stadium should be the only real deterrent. Columbus (2-3-4, 11 GF-14 GA) went through a very embarrassing reality in its last game when leading 3-1 over Montréal at Home in Columbus, Kei Kamara (5 goals) and Federico Higuain (3 goals) fought like children over who would take a Crew PK—Higuain took it and made it to make the score 4-1—deflating the team and allowing Didier Drogba and the Impact to rally with 3 goals in the L35+ minutes of play to earn a 4-4 Draw in one of the wildest matches of the young season.

The L5 meetings in this series (COL 1-2 CLB, COL 1-1 CLB, CLB 0-2 COL, COL 2-0 CLB, COL 1-0 CLB) has seen the Rapids W3 of the 5 and earn 10 points against the Crew with their only Loss coming in the last meeting at The Dick, 2-1 (Aug. 8, 2015). Here, with Jermaine Jones (3 goals) the Rapids playing so well, the Crew (2-3-4, 11 GF-14 GA) struggling and now Frustrated and probably a little bit Embarrassed, it seems the situation is right for a nice little showdown in which both teams should probably score at least once in a match which Columbus will be facing an underrated tough opponent at the wrong time. This one may best be approached by just watching it, although the potentially Cold temperatures and the 1st-place Rapids (6-2-2, 13 GF- 8 GA) staunch Defense and GK Zac MacMath could lead to boredom.

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Final Score Prediction: Crew 2 Rapids 1
Free Picks: Over 2½ -125 (at BetVictor), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -150 (at Coral)

 

Toronto FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps
BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario, Canada 7:30 p.m. ET/4:30 p.m.

3-Way Odds: Toronto FC +120, Whitecaps +300, Draw +260 (Betfred)
Total: 2½ Over -137, Under +100 (Paddy Power)

The L5 Meetings (VAN 1-3 TOR, TOR 1-1 VAN, VAN 1-0 TOR, TOR 3-2 VAN, TOR 1-0 VAN) have seen Sebastian Giovinco (6 goals) and Toronto FC (4-2-3, 10 GF-7 GA) go 3-1-1 against Pedro Morales (4 goals) and the Whitecaps (4-2-5, 14 GF-16 GA), so the edge has to go to the hosts here who are 2-1-1 at Home (7 GF-4 GA) while Vancouver is a dismal 1-0-4, 5 GF-11) on the Road and has a nasty -6 GD away from British Columbia and sucking on the Road is a common theme with many MLS clubs so far this Regular Season.

The Weather Forecast for Toronto on Saturday night calls for mostly Clear Skies, a Low around 40° with WNW Winds 10 to 20 mph, so, honestly Cold conditions even for Canada in the month of May as this Spring-less Spring continues across North America. With the Reds (1-0-0, 1 GF-0 GA) finally being at Home after a long stretch to start the season on the Road, this could be a tough spot for the Whitecaps with some Canadian pride on the line.

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Final Score Prediction: Toronto FC 2 Whitecaps 1
Free Picks: Toronto FC -120 (at Bet365)

 

Houston Dynamo vs. Real Salt Lake
BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston, Texas 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m.

3-Way Odds: Dynamo +160, Real Salt Lake +162, Draw +240 (Boylesports)
Total: 2½ Over -162, Under +130 (BetVictor)

The L5 meetings (RSL 2-1 HOU, HOU 1-3 RSL, RSL 2-0 HOU, HOU 2-5 RSL, RSL 1-0 HOU) in this series has seen Real Salt Lake completely dominate, W5 and outscoring the Dynamo, 13-4 along the way, so if this seems like a good spot to try to take a chance on Joao Plata (4 goals) and the Road Underdogs, this may be it (RSL +169, Marathon). Also, the visiting team has prevailed 3 times with no Draws played with 4 of the L5 meetings in this Western Conference series going Over the Total, averaging 3.25 gpg and 5 of the L6 here at BBVA Compass Stadium going Over, averaging 4.17 gpg.

Giles Barnes (3 goals), Will Bruin (3 goal), Andrew Wenger (3 goals) and 10th-place Houston (2-2-5, 16 GF-16 GA) had been in horrible Form of late (LLDLLL) before a 2-0 Win last weekend at Home vs. slumping Sporting Kansas City while Real Salt Lake (5-2-2, 14 GF-13 GA) has had a considerably better start than the Dynamo and started the week in 3rd place but only had an overall +1 GD compared to Houston’s Even mark (+0). The MLS is always seems to be a tight pack where two straight Wins can vault a struggling club from the Depths of Despair to a quick but Plastic Confidence and quickly into Playoff position in one of the top 6 spots in the two conferences. The Weather Forecast for Houston Saturday night calls for a few Clouds, a Low near 40°—again, really Chilly for the Lone Star State—with WNW Winds of around 10-20 mph, so potentially fairly gusty for this soccer pick.

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Final Score Prediction: Dynamo 1 Real Salt Lake 2

 

FC Dallas vs. Seattle Sounders
Toyota Park, Frisco, Texas 9 p.m. EDT/6:00 p.m.

3-Way Odds: FC Dallas -187, Sounders +550, Draw +320 (Sky Bet)
Total: 2½ Over -137, Under +100 (Paddy Power)

One day in the not-too-distant Future, all venues in the MLS will be named Toyota Park except for Vancouver which will be called Ogopogo Bridge after the famous Lake Okanagan sea monster with an attitude. In the L5 Meetings (DAL 2-1 SEA, SEA 2-1 DAL, SEA 3-0 DAL, DAL 0-0 TOR, SEA 0-0 DAL) the Over has W3 with the Home side prevailing all three matches while the two preceding meetings both ended in scoreless 0-0 Draws. The Weather Forecast for Frisco (suburban Dallas) on Saturday night calls for Partly Cloudy skies, a Low of 65° with S Winds of 5-10 mph and 72% Humidity, it’s just perfect for Soccer and with FC Dallas (5-2-4, 15 GF-18 GA) featuring Michael Barrios (4 goals), Max Urruti (3 goals), Tesho Akindele (3 goals) and Fabian Castillo (2 goals) and the Seattle Sounders (4-1-4, 10 GF-10 GA) having Jordan Morris (4 goals), star veteran Clint Dempsey (2 goals) and Chad Marshall (2 goals), there should be at least 3 goals scored here. But from a handicapping POV, one thing really sticks out here and it’s the thing Sports Bettors who are constantly seeking value look to get and that’s (perceived) “value” or “The Best Of It,” and that’s the feeling here with the Sounders priced so high on the Road, as high as +550 in some British sportsbooks (SkyBet, Boylesports, Winner)—the number seems off at least 175 cents—although Deuce and Seattle are still winless on the Road this season (0-1-2, 3 GF-6 GA).

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Final Score Prediction: FC Dallas 2 Sounders 2
Free Picks: Over 2½ -130 (at Bodog), Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) -153 (BetVictor)

Sunday, May 15, 2016

Sporting Kansas City vs. Orlando City SC
Children’s Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas 3:30 p.m. EDT/12:30 p.m.
TV: ESPN, ESPN Deportes, MLS Live (US), Sky Sports 5/HD, NOW TV UK, SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK (UK), MLS Live (CAN), ESPN + Brasil (BRAZIL), V (CHINA), LeTV (HONG KONG), ESPN2 Pacific Rim (NZ)
3-Way Odds: Sporting Kansas City +142, OCSC +350, Draw +280 (Boylesports)
Total: 2½ Over -150, Under +120 (Coral)

Second-year franchise Orlando City SC (2-5-2, 16 GF-14 GA) and 2015 MLS Rookie of the Year Cyle Larin (4 goals), Kevin Molino (4 goals) and playmaker Kaká (2 goals) have already played to 5 Draws this year and are 1-1-2 (6 GF-7 GA) on the Road this year. Because Orlando City is a new club and plays in the Eastern Conference, these two clubs have only met once with OCSC winning at the Citrus Bowl last season, 3-1 (Sept. 13, 2015). And with these two teams only having one victory in their L12 matches combined, taking a chance on the Draw or in the Draw No Bet marketplace may be worth a small shot here and despite the friendly Site, Dominic Dwyer (4 goals), Brad Davis (2 goals) and Sporting Kansas City (4-2-5, 11 GF-12 GA) could definitely lose here, especially with Sporting Kansas City winless in its L5 matches (Loss-Loss-Loss-Draw-Draw-Loss).

The Weather Forecast for Kansas City (Kansas) on Sunday afternoon calls for Partial Cloudiness early followed by Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms, (60% chance of Rain), a High of a warm 84° with S Winds of 10-20 mph. Struggling and with a less talented Roster by a little bit to evolving OCSC, SKC may come out and play not to lose here making for a game with few quality Shots on Target although the price on the Over (-150, Boylesports) suggests otherwise.

Final Score Prediction: Sporting Kansas City 1 OCSC 1
Free Picks: OCSC Draw No Bet +260 (BetVictor)

 

Portland Timbers vs New York City FC
Providence Park, Portland, Oregon 7:30 p.m. EDT/4:30 p.m.

3-Way Odds: Timbers -115, NYCFC +330, Draw +250 (BetVictor)
Total: 2½ Over -137, Under +126 (Paddy Power)

The Site, the newness of New York City FC and the Travel (2,895 miles) and 3-Hour Time Difference (EDT to PDT) should all weigh heavily for David Villa (7 goals), Thomas McNamara (2 goals) and visiting NYCFC (3-4-23 15 GF-15 GA) here in Portland against emerging star Fanendo Adi and (7 goals) the defending MLS champion Timbers (3-3-4, 15 GF-18 GA) on Sunday evening in the last game of the week.

The Weather Channel’s Sunday night Forecast for Portland calls for Cloudy Skies, a Low around 51° and NW Winds of 5-10 mph. With NYCFC just joining the league last year, these two have only met once with Portland registering a 1-0 Clean Sheet in The Bronx last season (April 9, 2015) no matter how great looking the visitors Roster is, this is really a tough place for a 2nd-year club to have to come play and even leave with a result, as there are few burly Lumberjacks dressed in Flannel sawing massive hunks off a monster-sized Log seen in The Bronx and Portland (3-3-4, 15 GF-18 GA) really needs the win and the 3 points here.

Final Score Prediction: Timbers 2 NYCFC 1
Free Picks: Timbers -110 (Betfred), Over 2½ +100 (Winner), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -142 (BetVictor)

 

MLS SOCCER WEEK 10 SATURDAY BEST BETS PICKS: Impact -105 (Sky Bet), Impact-Union Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) -175 (Paddy Power), Toronto FC -114 (Marathon), FC Dallas-Sounders Over 2½ -114 (Marathon), FC Dallas-Sounders Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) -153 (BetVictor)

MLS SOCCER WEEK 10 SUNDAY BEST BETS PICK: Timbers -110 (Betfred)