Week 15 Premier League Odds Preview to Fire Up Profits

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, December 2, 2015 7:26 PM GMT

Man City join Leicester City at the top of the table at the close of week 14. We bring you the particulars, updated EPL futures odds and look ahead to the upcoming weekend’s soccer betting menu.

Premier League Week 14 In Hindsight
Arguably, the main clash on week 14’s Premier League betting menu was the top of the table showdown between Leicester City and Manchester United, in the battle for top spot. Tale told, it didn’t disappoint despite the 1-1 stalemate as Jamie Vardy stole the headlines, becoming the first player in Premier League lore to score in 11 consecutive matches.

What makes Jamie Vardy such a revelation is the unexpectedness of his rise in the Premier League. Why only four years ago he was plying his trade in the obscurity of the Conference for Fleetwood Town. To say that nobody saw him coming is the understatement of the season – heck, the century. At the start of the season, he was the quintessential long shot in futures betting markets to top the Top Goal Scorer market at +100000!!! Hands up if you made him your choice soccer pick in this market…. Hmmm…anybody….don’t be shy.

To be sure few soccer bettors would have piled on top of Vardy’s soccer odds in preseason Premier League betting markets. Most would have gravitated towards the likes of Sergio Aguero, Alexis Sanchez or Diego Costa – to name a few.

Those lucky few to have seen the potential in the 28-year-old striker (his mum and dad in all likelihood) must be wound up tighter than a coil right now as Vardy leads the Premier League with 14 goals. If he maintains his sublime run of form it’ll be one hell of a payday at season end.

You can still pound his soccer odds, but they’re nowhere nearly as attractive as they were when the season was in its infancy. He’s now trading as the +175 favorite to win the honours, ahead of Aguero (+333), Romelu Lukaku (+600) and Harry Kane (+700).

Anyway, we digress. Back to the overarching Premier League table. On the heels of the 1-1 draw, Leicester City salvaged the point at King Power Stadium to improve to 8-5-1 on the season with 29 points. It’s enough to keep them at the top of the table for another week in the Premier League.

Joining the Foxes were Manchester City after beating Southampton 3-1 at the Etihad. The Citizens improve to 9-2-3 and 29 points. They are sat just ahead of Leicester in the hierarchy down to a significantly better goal differential that stands at +16 to Leicester’s +8.

Naturally, Manchester United slipped behind the pair while Arsenal slipped to fourth after settling on a 1-1 draw to Norwich City on the road. Tottenham Hotspur, meanwhile, heaped more misery on Chelsea after forcing a scoreless draw on the Blues at White Hart Lane. Rounding out the top 6 this week were Liverpool after a 1-0 win over Swansea City at Anfield.

 

Recap Preseason Futures' Odds To Win Title
At the start of the season (See Table 1), the usual suspects were riding roughshod over the league. Naturally, Chelsea, defending champions, were installed as the team to beat anywhere from +150 soccer odds at William Hill to +163 soccer odds at Bet365. Closely followed by Manchester City (20130-2014 champions) at +275 across the board and household names Arsenal and Manchester United (ranging from +400 to +500, respectively).

Two thirds of the first half of the season are almost in the books and the landscape couldn’t be more topsy-turvy in certain respects. Chelsea are nowhere near the form that saw them win the league last season, while Leicester City have come out of nowhere to hobnob at the top of the table with the likes of stalwart contenders Manchester City, Arsenal and Manchester United. Then there’s the moments of inconsistency by the aforementioned triplet of stalwarts that just adds intrigue and drama. At the moment, none appears to be on the verge of pulling ahead of the chasing pack.

Table 1: Preseason EPL 2015-2016 Futures To Win Outright

How week 14 Impacts Current Futures Betting Markets
To be fair, the impact is debatable. Manchester City remain the top favorites to win the title at -110 soccer odds at Bet365. As well, they are a lock to finish in the Top 4 if their -5000 soccer odds were any indication.

Odds makers, meanwhile, continue to snub Leicester City with +8000 soccer odds to win the title. A ridiculously disingenuous price tag compared to those trading for Man United (+500), Arsenal (+300), Liverpool (+1400) and Tottenham (+2000). Not to mention, pricing them at +600 soccer odds to finish in the top 4, which is a larger price tag than the +400 soccer odds Chelsea are trading on, despite their woes this season and ranking inside the bottom half of the table (See Table 2).

Chelsea, meanwhile, aren’t written out of the proceedings even though they remain in the bottom half of the table, keeping company with some the league’s stragglers and delinquents.

 

Table 2: EPL 2015-2016 Futures To Win Outright In Accordance to Current League Ranking

 

Positive Movers After Week 14
Although Manchester City remain the title favorites across sportsbook platforms, their soccer odds improve from +138 (ahead of week 13) to -110. Leicester City, meanwhile, stay put on +8000 soccer odds to win the league title despite forcing a draw on Manchester United, a result that defied the soccer betting odds and ranks amongst the season’s upsets to date.

Others to see their EPL futures improve include Liverpool from +2000 (last week) to +1400 ahead of week 15. Crystal Palace, Everton and Watford also enjoyed improvements to their perceived Premier League upside at sports betting exchanges but seeing as they are seven points or more behind the top tandem they are priced as long shots for your soccer picks.

 

Negative Movers After Week 14
Leicester City’s soccer odds may have failed to improve on the heels of the 1-1 draw against the highly fancied Manchester United but the Red Devils weren’t so lucky. They’ve failed to make the measure against a perceived upstart. Thus, they fall from +350 to +500 this week. Arsenal suffer a similar fate on the heels of a 1-1 draw against relegation contenders Norwich as their odds fall from +200 to +300. Clearly, neither club is priced out of reasonable probability to win the title though.

Optimism continues to reign supreme over Chelsea despite their latest setback against Tottenham at White Hart Lane. Considering where the Blues rank, their soccer odds are a stark contrast to those clubs immediately in the vicinity. Still, there was a marginal swelling from +4000 to +5000 to win the title and from +333 to +400 to finish inside the Top 4.