Week 13 Premier League Picks for Newcastle Utd vs. Leicester City

SBR Staff

Wednesday, November 18, 2015 8:01 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 18, 2015 8:01 PM UTC

Leicester travels to take on Newcastle in week 13 & with no clear favorite, experts here at SportsbookReview break down the betting odds for this game & serve a free pick.

Leicester have enjoyed a fantastic run of form that has seen them move into mid-November third in the table, a mere point behind leaders Man City. In even his wildest dreams Claudio Ranieri could not have anticipated this when he took over as manager from Nigel Pearson in the summer. But the winning run actually goes back a lot longer: under Pearson, Leicester won seven of their final nine games to pull off the greatest escape the Premiership has ever seen, moving from rock bottom to 14th with an almighty surge up the table. They have kept the winning formula this season, with Jamie Vardy unstoppable up front and Riyadh Mahrez bossing the midfield. They aim to continue their run of form against a relegation-threatened Newcastle side that has struggled this season under new boss Steve McLaren. But it is not a great time to be heading up to St James’s Park. Newcastle are finally gaining some momentum. They scraped to a 0-0 draw against Stoke in their last home game and then won 1-0 away at Bournemouth. After shipping six goals at Man City last month, McLaren has managed to shore up the defence and grind out a few important results. Expect a similarly tight game here. 

This is reflected in the soccer odds. There is no clear favourite: Most betting platforms has both teams at +162.5 to win & offering +230 for a draw, and this looks to be the most likely result. Leicester are surely due a reality check. They cannot go on winning forever and will eventually slide down the table to make room for the likes of Man Utd, Tottenham and Liverpool in the top five. They have overachieved so far, given their relatively meagre budget for wages and transfer fees, and they are due to drop some points. Newcastle are finally building up a head of steam and may just escape relegation once more. The return of Cheick Tiote from injury has given them a boost by shoring up their defence, while the loss of Tim Krul has been rendered a moot point by the superb displays of stand-in goalkeeper Rob Elliott. With the often erratic Fabricio Coloccini improving in central defence, big money signing Aleksandr Mitrovic providing a decent focal point up front and Moussa Sissoko continuing to exert influence in the middle of the park, the Magpies are showing signs of developing the spine needed to pick up the points they need. You would expect both teams to score, and the +650 on offer at Bet Victor for a 1-1 draw looks a great bet. It should also prove to be a tight, low-scoring game and the -225 on offer at Betfair for under 3.5 goals is one to consider. 

Vardy has scored in his last nine league games in a row. This is one of the best goal scoring runs the Premiership has ever seen and it has prompted a clamouring for him to be made the starting centre forward for England ahead of a misfiring Wayne Rooney. If he scores against Newcastle, he will equal the Premiership record set a decade ago by Man Utd’s Ruud van Nistelrooy, who scored in 10 games running. Vardy will be desperate to achieve this. In Leicester’s last game, a 2-1 victory over Watford, Vardy went down with what looked to be a bad injury, but nothing was going to stop him carrying on. When he was felled in the box by Watford goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes for a penalty, he took the ball from regular penalty taker Mahrez, put the ball on the spot and blasted it past Gomes. Such is the confidence of this waspish, hard-working and supremely talented striker. Back him to score first in this game. Or for an outside soccer pick, look at Ayoze Perez of Newcastle, who is not their main striker but has a habit of popping up with important goals in tight games. 

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