Valero Texas Open PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis

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Valero Texas Open PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis
Kevin Chappell of the United States plays his shot from the fifth tee. Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images/AFP

Valero Texas Open

April 1st – April 4th at TPC San Antonio, Oaks Course

Par 72, 7435 yards

After missing 2020 for the obvious reasons the Valero Texas Open finds its pre-Masters week slot in the PGA Tour schedule. Dustin Johnson was a late entry on Friday, in an attempt to dust off any cobwebs before the Masters. A Greg Norman design course where total driving to differing width fairways and putting ability on Bermuda Grass greens is an advantage.

Although this week was a late addition for World number one, Dustin Johnson could be perfectly suited by the Oaks Course. Only an infrequent participant in Texas throughout the years, his 69.50 stroke average is no surprise given it’s a course that suits the player who combines length and accuracy. Regardless, his presence means bigger prices on his competitors so, for our golf pick, we will concentrate our efforts in looking for value on win and place markets at the best betting sites.

Dustin Johnson of the United States plays his shot on the 18th tee. Michael Reaves/Getty Images/AFP

Brendan Grace to Manage the Winds of Texas

Not many golfers manage windy conditions as well as the South African, Brendan Grace whose low ball flight sets him apart from the majority of the PGA Tour players. That skill set was seen to great effect a few weeks ago at the Puerto Rico Open where Grace won his second PGA Tour title, the other being the Heritage Classic where his low ball flight was perfectly suited.

2021 started in tough fashion for Grace with the loss of his father but those events can refocus the mind of a sportsman from several different perspectives, one of which is the fear of losing doesn’t attach itself to the mind. This works in positive fashion for the player who stays in the moment naturally with an uncluttered mind. Two top 10 finishes in previous years show that Grace can handle the course here and after a couple of weeks break to refresh since the Players Championship we can expect a strong challenge form the thirty-two year old. The golf odds at Bovada have a good look for Brendan Grace at +7000.

PGA Golf Betting Pick: Brendan Grace to win at +7000 Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Brendan Grace to win (+7000)
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PGA Golf Betting Pick: Brendan Grace in top 10 at +700 BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Brendan Grace in top 10(+700)
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Kevin Chappell Loves the Valero Texas Open and Played Well Last Time in the Honda Classic

Kevin Chappell has struggled in recent seasons on the PGA Tour but there are plausible reasons and excuses given his constant back issues that have accounted for only twenty-three starts since November of 2018. The interesting fact about Chappell is that his one career PGA Tour win was here in 2017 and he has a strong affinity with TPC San Antonio, Oaks Course that has seen him accumulate top 4 finishes in 2011 and 2016.

A couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic Chappell played a strong final round on a difficult last day to scythe through the field to eventually finish 13th and that was his best finish since October 2018. Tough conditions like those at the Honda Classic have been a factor that the Californian has thrived on in his previous years on the PGA Tour with a plethora of high finishes in major championships and a Players Championship runner-up position prior to his injury woes. That is an indicator to the standard Chappell was capable of producing and with an injection of confidence from the Honda Classic, this week could be the perfect week to support the thirty-five year old. Take +1100 Betonline for Kevin Chappell for a top 10 finish at the Valero Texas Open.

PGA Golf Betting Pick: Kevin Chappell to win at (+12500) Bovada

Kevin Chappell to win (+12500)
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PGA Golf Betting Pick: Kevin Chappell in Top 10 at ( +1100) BetOnline

Kevin Chappell in Top 10 (+1100)
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David Hearn of Canada lines up a putt on the 13th green. Gregory Shamus/Getty Images/AFP

Experienced Canadian, David Hearn Is a Player to Consider in Texas

The forty-one year old lanky Canadian, David Hearn caught my attention last week in the Dominican Republic with his best display of 2021 thus far. He is a player I have support before in Texas given he is a course specialist at the TPC San Antonio with three top 20 finishes in six starts. Hearn has never been the most consistent sort but has plied his trade on the PGA Tour for many years. This week represents a strong opportunity for a good return of FedEx points in this journeyman’s yearly quest to retain his playing privileges.

PGA Golf Top 20 Pick: David Hearn in Top 20 at +1000 Bovada

David Hearn in Top 20(+1000)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.