US Open Tennis Picks: Day 4 Spread Analysis for Main Favorites

João Mourato

Wednesday, September 2, 2015 4:03 PM GMT

The last day of Round 2 in the US Open will be played this Thursday and we have found excellent tennis picks including two from the men's and one from the women's for our Day 4. 

Andy Murray vs. Adrian Mannarino
Andy Murray lost his first set to Nick Kyrgios in four matches but was a very solid performance from Andy defeating the Australian 7–5, 6–3, 4–6, 6–1 with 18 aces, 46 winners, 23 unforced errors and winning 44% points on return against a big server like Kyrgios is a great number.

Adrian Mannarino had a very good start to the year with his counter punching skills causing a lot of damage, however his level has been decreasing and he seems to be playing more passive than ever lately. In the first round defeated the qualifier Konstantin Kravchuk 7–6, 6–4, 6–1 but he had many problems being 1–4 down in first set, also had to save a set point on first set tie break and was broken twice in the match while serving to close the set.

They played once in Indian Wells this year where Mannarino was playing some of his best career tennis but still lost to Andy 3–6, 3–6. Adrian with his passive game style will not cause any problems to Murray and this should be an easy match for the 2012 US Open champion.

Tennis Pick: Andy Murray -9.5 at +116 at Pinnacle

 

Roger Federer vs. Steve Darcis
Roger Federer kept his high level from Cincinnati and was expecting some more resistance from Leonardo Mayer, however the Swiss just destroyed his opponent for a 6–1, 6–2, 6–2 victory. Federer's serve has been a big weapon and once again, he has not been broke, but also his return is very sharp breaking Mayer 6 times.

Steve Darcis got his first Grand Slam main draw win since he defeated Rafael Nadal in Wimbledon 2013. The Belgian has struggled with many physical problems, which has not allowed him to perform at his best on a consistent basis. Steve was leading 3–1 in 4th set when Marcos Baghdatis retired from the match allowing Darcis to reach 2nd round of US Open for the third time in his career.

With Federer performing at such high level there is not much Darcis should be able to do in this match, the Belgian doesn’t have a big serve and he will allow Federer to get into rallies in almost every points on his serve. On the baseline Steve very often uses the backhand slice that is very effective against some opponents, but against Roger should not cause any problems and this will be another quick victory for the World No. 2.

Tennis Pick: Roger Federer -9.5 at -108 at 5Dimes

 

Hyeon Chung vs. Stan Wawrinka
Once again Stan Wawrinka played a “minimum effort level” match against Albert Ramos defeating the Spanish 7–5, 6–4, 7–6. Stan was far from impressive and Ramos had good chances to win all sets but in the end, Wawrinka raised his level little, which was enough against a lower level opponent.

Hyeon Chung just crushed James Duckworth 6–3, 6–1, 6–2 but the Australian was clearly struggling with his serve with only 38% first serve in which made Chung’s life much easier. The 19 year old South-Korean is a very solid baseline player and despite not having any real weapons he’s always a tough opponent to face.

Another match where we can’t trust Wawrinka to cover his spread, is the times he’ll face a better hardcourt player and don't be surprised if he loses a set.  Chung should give a very good fight with his solid baseline tennis and we advise to avoid Stan Wawrinka -7.0 at +108.

 

Yanina Wickmayer vs. Victoria Azarenka
After a leg injury that forced her to retire in Cincinnati, Victoria Azarenka started her campaign with an impressive 6–1, 6–2 win over Lucie Hradecka. Vika served very well not being broken a single time with 75% first serve in and 88% first serve points won.

Her next opponent will also be Yanina Wickmayer who is also a very powerful player but has been struggling to play her best tennis and before this event even decided to play an ITF tournament in Vancouver. Yanina defeated Francesca Schiavone in first round without many problems 6–3, 6–1, however Francesca has also been far from her best.

The only meeting between them was in 2012 and Azarenka won that 6–0, 6–4. The match-up is very good for Vika, she likes to face this type of offensive players where her counter-puncher skills are very effective and she should keep the good form with a comfortable victory.

Tennis Pick: Victoria Azarenka -6.5 at -102 at BetOnline

 

Simona Halep vs. Kateryna Bondarenko
Simona Halep was leading 6–2, 3–0 when Marina Erakovic retired in the first round, but now she might have a harder match against Kateryna Bondarenko who is a former World No. 29. Bondarenko was away from the tour because she gave birth, but she’s back with big determination and her powerful game is always very dangerous. Kayeryna came from qualifying and defeated Putintseva in the first round 6–0, 6–3.

Halep will not have an easy time in this match, Bondarenko has a very good mindset with no fear of facing the top players and despite of Halep being a good counter puncher, Bondarenko’s firepower is always a very good weapon. Our advice is to avoid betting on Simona Halep's tennis odds spread -6.5 at +108.