Alex De Minaur vs Kei Nishikori (7)
Alex De Minaur advanced to the third round of the US Open for the second consecutive year after a 6-3, 7-5, 6-3 win over Christian Garin in two hours and 21 minutes. The 20-year-old enjoyed great success as a junior and quickly establish himself as one of the best players on the ATP Tour, following in the footsteps of his mentor Lleyton Hewitt. Known for his incredible speed on court, De Minaur is a very dangerous player on this surface. The world No.38 won two tour-level titles this year and has an outstanding 74.07% winning record on this surface in 2019.
The Australian will face former US Open finalist Kei Nishikori with a place in the fourth round at stake. The world No.7 reached the quarterfinals in all of the last three Grand Slam tournaments and is hoping to make another run at Flushing Meadows. Nevertheless, Nishikori has struggled for form since the start of the US Open series, losing on his opening-round match in Montreal and Cincinnati.
Looking now at the odds for this contest, Nishikori is the favorite at -205 with 5Dimes. The Australian lost all his previous 11 official encounters against Top 10 players but should be able to create some problems to Kei on this match. On the other hand, Nishikori lost at least one set in nine of his last 14 matches at the US Open. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the Over 38 to your betting picks as the best approach for this third-round match.
Best Pick: Over 38 (-111) with Pinnacle
Petra Martic (22) vs Anastasija Sevastova (12)
Anastasija Sevastova continued her good run of form in New York on Thursday after a 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 win over Iga Swiatek in the second round. The Latvian has been one of the most consistent players at Flushing Meadows in recent years, reaching the quarterfinals or better in all her last three appearances on this event. Swiatek couldn’t find a solution to Anastasija’s tricky game style, ending the match with 55 unforced errors against just 24 from her opponent.
Sevastova will next take on Petra Martic, who needed just one hour and 36 minutes to beat Ana Bogdan in the second round on Thursday. The 28-year-old is making her 10th appearance at Flushing Meadows but this is the first time that she makes it past the second round. Nevertheless, Martic has enjoyed great success at majors this year, reaching the French Open quarterfinals and the fourth round in Wimbledon.
This will be the second meeting between these two players. Martic won their first encounter at the French Open in 2017 while Sevastova got his revenge one year later in Bucharest.
The sportsbooks are expecting a very close encounter with Sevastova as the slight favorite at -133 with Bovada while BetOnline offers +113 for Martic to win this match. Despite Petra’s outstanding results at Grand Slam events in 2019, it’s impossible to go against Sevastova on this event. Adding to this, the Latvian won 92.31% of the matches played throughout her career at Flushing Meadows when priced below even money. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to take advantage of the value on Anastasija’s tennis betting odds to win this match.
Best Pick: Anastasija Sevastova ML (-130) with Bovada