Thomas Fabbiano vs Dominic Thiem (4)
Dominic Thiem heads into this year’s US Open with questions surrounding his fitness after withdrawing from the Western & Southern Open due to illness. The No.4 seed spent a lot of time in bed the last couple of days and is not thinking about a deep run at Flushing Meadows. Thiem couldn’t do anything for a week and noticed that he was out of power after a practice session last Friday.
Looking now at Dominic’s draw on this event, the 25-year-old will open his campaign against Thomas Fabbiano on Tuesday at Arthur Ashe Stadium. The Italian has enjoyed great success this year at majors, reaching the third round in two of the last three Grand Slam events. Unlike many of his other countrymen, Fabbiano is more comfortable on faster surfaces. The conditions at Flushing Meadows suit Thomas’ style with the world No.87 winning 61.11% of the matches played throughout his career on this event.
The sportsbooks are expecting a straightforward win from Thiem on this match with the Austrian as the heavy favorite at -772 with BetOnline. Nevertheless, it’s impossible to find any value on Dominic’s tennis betting odds, not only due to his recent illness, but also because of Fabbiano’s impressive results this year. The Italian also won his last encounter against a Top 10 player after a sensational five-set victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Wimbledon. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to place a bet on the Fabbiano’s +2.5 Set Handicap as the best approach for this contest.
Best Pick: Thomas Fabbiano +2.5 Set Handicap (+119) with Pinnacle
Danielle Collins vs Polona Hercog
Danielle Collins is a two-time NCAA champion and had a great college career at the University of Virginia. After four years in college, Collins decided to turn pro in 2016 and it took her only two years to break into the Top 100. The Florida native enjoyed a breakthrough year in 2018, reaching the semifinals at the Miami Open. Adding to this, Collins continued her good run of form in 2019 when she made it to last four at the Australian Open, becoming the first former college player to reach a women’s Grand Slam semifinal in the Open Era.
Collins will take on Polona Hercog in the first round of the US Open on Tuesday. The former world No.35 is a great clay-court player and has one of the best kick serves on the WTA Tour. Nevertheless, the fast court conditions at the US open are not ideal for Polona’s style with the Slovenian winning only 26.67% of the matches played throughout her career in Flushing Meadows.
Looking now at the odds for this contest, Collins is the slight favorite at -152 with Pinnacle while Bookmaker offers +135 for Hercog to win this match. The American is the better player on these fast conditions and will have the crowd’s endearing support. On the other hand, Hercog has yet to win a match this year on hard court when priced above even money. Having said that, our recommendation is to add Danielle’s moneyline to your betting picks as the best play here.
Best Pick: Danielle Collins ML (-152) with Pinnacle