US Open 2019 ATP Draw Analysis, Futures Betting & Tennis Picks

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The last Grand Slam of the season starts on Monday at Flushing Meadows with 128 players trying to become the new US Open champion. The tournament announced the draw on Thursday with Novak Djokovic as the undeniable favorite to win the title for the fourth time in his career.

Three-Horse Race

Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer make up the “Big Three’. These three players have won 54 Grand Slam titles in total and all the last 11 majors. The last player to lift a Grand Slam trophy apart from the trio was Stan Wawrinka at the US Open in 2016, which makes it normal to see Djokovic, Nadal and Federer as the three main contenders for the title this year at Flushing Meadows.

Future Odds from Pinnacle:

  • Djokovic (-108)
  • Nadal (+286)
  • Federer (+719)

Djokovic was handed a tough draw in New York with a potential semifinal clash against Federer in the semifinals. The Serbian has been a terrible matchup for Federer in recent years, winning eight of their last 10 official encounters on the ATP Tour. Nevertheless, it’s impossible to find any value on Novak’s current tennis betting odds to win the title. On the other hand, Nadal is the highest ranked player on the bottom half of the draw and has a great opportunity to reach the US Open final for the fifth time in his career, which makes him an interesting play to reach the final at +150 with Bet365.

Player to Fade

Things haven’t been easy this year for Alexander Zverev with the German struggling with off-court issues. The world No.6 is in a legal dispute with his former manager Patricio Apey and seems to have lost his focus in the last few months. Despite claiming the biggest title of his career at the Nitto ATP Finals in November, Zverev only won 63.83% of the matches in 2019. Adding to this, the 22-year-old has also struggled with his serve this season, ending the match against Miomir Kecmanovic in Cincinnati with 20 double faults.

Looking now at Alexander’s draw on this event, the No.6 seed will open his campaign against Radu Albot from Moldova. Zverev is the favorite but the odds have been moving against him with Albot’s moneyline dropping more than 30% since the opening odds. The German should survive his first-round match but it’s unlikely to see him reaching the final stages of the tournament, which makes him a player to fade at Flushing Meadows.

Dark Horse

Stefanos Tsitsipas is having the best year of his career, reaching his maiden Grand Slam semifinal at the Australian Open and becoming the first Greek player to ever break into the top 10. The former junior world No.1 is one of the most talented players on the ATP Tour and it will be extremely difficult for anyone to beat him on these fast conditions in New York.

Tsitsipas will begin his bid for a first Grand Slam title against Andrey Rublev in one of the most interesting first-round matches on this event. Despite Rublev’s outstanding ball striking skills, Stefanos should be too solid for the Russian and is an interesting bet at -182 with Pinnacle. On the other hand, Tsitsipas also has a good opportunity to reach another semifinal in a quarter where Dominic Thiem is the only player with a better ranking than him. Thiem reached the fourth round or better in four of his previous five appearances on this event but lost the most recent encounter against the Greek on hard court. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take Stefanos to win his first-round match and also place a small stake on him to win the third quarter at +600 with Paddy Power.

Best Picks:

  • Tsitsipas to beat Rublev (-182) with Pinnacle
  • Nadal to reach the final (+150) with Bet365
  • Tsitsipas to win third quarter (+600) with Paddy Power