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Uni-Lions vs. Fubon Guardians
Thursday, June 4, 2020 – 5:35am EST
Probable Pitchers Per CPBL Website:
- Uni-Lions: Tzu-Chien Shih (3-2 6.60 ERA)
- Fubon: Kuo-Hao Chiang (2-2 5.40 ERA)
The Uni-Lions absolutely smoked Mike Loree on the road in their 12-3 win against the Guardians. The Uni-Lions are now 13-19 and just 6.5 games back from the Monkeys who continue to lose.
The league is much more wide open than it seemed just a few weeks ago.
The Uni-Lions will pitch Tzu-Chien Shih who is 3-2 with a 6.60 ERA on the season. He’s started six games and has two starts against the Guardians. In his first start against the Guardians, he was defeated after allowing six runs in 4.2 innings where he allowed seven hits and a home.
In this second game, Shih allowed just two runs in six innings on six hits including one homer.
Shih has had a weird season. While he’s 3-2, he’s allowed at least one homer per game this season and allowed two homers in one game this season. His strikeout rate is minimal but he also has walked just two batters in 30 innings.
Basically, Shih will attack hitters and allow balls batted in play. He has allowed 13 hits to the Guardians in 10.2 innings but hasn’t walked a single batter in those innings. He’s also struck out nine Guardians in those 10.2 innings of work, which is kind of high for Shih.
Lastly, Shih hasn’t pitched over 94 pitches or past the 6th inning in any of his six starts this season. You can expect the Uni-Lions bullpen for at least three innings, or potentially more.
Shih has allowed righties to hit .333 while lefties are hitting .304 in 30 innings pitched. That’s a large enough sample size to say that he’s getting hit pretty hard day in and day out. He’s allowed seven homers in six games and only has 19 strikeouts in six games.
In 90 innings pitched, Shih has an ERA of 4.30 against the Guardians in 16 games started. His WHIP is still high against the Guardians at 1.43.
For the Guardians, they’ll send out Kuo-Hao Chiang who is in his second season in the CPBL. He’s started four games and relieved one and has a 5.40 ERA this season.
Chiang has been terrific in his last three appearances. He went from allowing 16 runs in his first two games to allowing just two runs in his last three games. Two of those games were against the Uni-Lions.
It’s hard to pick against the red-hot Uni-Lions offense. It’s like the Uni-Lions are the new Monkeys right now offensively.
Chiang went six innings and allowed no runs in his first match-up against the Uni-Lions while walking three and allowing just four hits in that game. In his second match-up, he allowed two runs on six hits, including one homer and four strikeouts.
Chiang is also not a strikeout thrower as he’s struck out 16 batters in 26.2 innings of work. He’s limited walks seven in 26.2 innings. You’re not going to see many strikeouts at the start of this game but both pitchers have done well-attacking hitters.
Chiang pitched in relief on May 30 and went 2.1 innings against the CTBC Brothers where he threw 45 pitches and allowed no runs, struck out two, and allowed three hits and a walk.
Still, on the season, left-handed batters are hitting .323 against Chiang while righties are hitting .311 on the season.
In 22.1 innings pitched against the Uni-Lions, Chiang has an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.34.
I hate picking against the Uni-Lions right now. They just destroyed Mike Loree but at the end of the day, we need to focus on numbers and stats and not just bet with our hearts.
Chiang has much more upside compared to Shih currently. Shih has allowed 12 runs in his last two starts and hasn’t passed the fourth inning in either of those starts. He’s allowed a homer in every game this season while Chiang has only allowed one on the year.
I’m going with Fubon via BetOnline to tie the series at one before the weekend series approaches.