UFC 163 is looming but where is the action going in a card that features featherweight king Jose Aldo defending his title against the Korean Zombie? Let's see which fighters you should conseider adding to your UFC picks.
Don't forget to also check out our UFC 163 Main Event Preview!
Jose Aldo vs. Chan Sung Jung
As of this writing the UFC odds on the champ have remained consistent at Pinnacle and are among the best at offshore books. Aldo is currently -694 and Jung will reward the adventurous punters with a +565 return on their investment. Ladbrokes has made it more expensive to back the champ as they have moved from approximately -575 all the way to -833 with a return of +500 on the Zombie.
If you’re inclined to plunk a few bucks or more on Aldo then you would have to be thinking of a parlay to minimize the damage if Jung pulls the upset. However, if you believe the Korean Zombie can walk through Aldo’s arsenal unscathed then he is looking like a prime dog who may be barking at just the right time for his backers.
Lyoto Machida vs. Phil Davis
Phil Davis was a shooting star in the UFC light heavyweight division until he lost a lackluster decision to Rashad Evans. He has followed up with one no contest and two victories over pluggers Wagner Prado and Vinny Magalhaes. Davis will face a stern test against former UFC light heavyweight champ Lyoto Machida which would vault him up the rankings if were to emerge with a victory.
Machida has been far more impressive since he lost his title challenge to Jon Bones Jones at UFC 140. The Dragon rebounded from his submission loss to the champ with a KO of Ryan Bader at UFC 140 then eked out a split decision over Dan Henderson. If Machida can dispatch Davis then he will be back in the championship conversation and most likely a rematch with Jones.
The UFC odds are reflecting that Davis will have more than a puncher’s chance of upending Machida. All the major shops are trending down on the favorite and Machida is currently being dealt as low, relatively speaking, as -325 in the UFC odds at Ladbrokes and as high as -400 at William Hill.
Davis may choose to remain on his feet as he did against his last opponent Vinny Magalhes and limit his trips to the canvas despite being an acclaimed NCAA All-American D-1 wrestler. Machida will look to keep Davis at bay with leg and head kicks. Davis possesses a five-inch reach advantage and that could prove lethal if Machida decides to take this fight to the clinch and bang inside.
The problem many see with Davis is that he becomes too cautious in the big fights and may not be willing to take risks if he falls behind. Some would conjecture that he will be lucky if he escapes a knockout while others are convinced he has the chops to stop Machida in his tracks. Pinnacle is currently dealing Machida at -325 and returning +285 on Davis in their UFC 163 odds.
Vinny Magalhaes vs. Anthony Perosh
Now that Josh Koscheck has pulled out of his bout with Demian Maia due to injury we must turn our attention to the light heavyweight tilt between Vinny Magalhaes and Anthony Perosh. Magalhaes had an inauspicious beginning to his MMA career, dropping four of his first seven bouts (including one no contest). However he put all that Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu pedigree to work and reeled off eight victories over his next nine fights until he met top ten contender Phil Davis in April at UFC 159. Davis scored a dominating unanimous decision which put Magalhaes on the backburner.
He will square up against Anthony Perosh, who is a 41-year-old former heavyweight looking for a few more paychecks before he turns his gloves in for something more akin to what middle-aged guys do besides pummeling one another. The good news is that this one has a very good chance of going longer than his last fight when he was floored by an overhand right by Ryan Jimmo in a spectacular seven-second KO.
William Hill is dealing Magalhaes at some of the most favorable odds at -277 if you're inclined to lay the lumber on the favorite in your sports picks. However if you believe Perosh still has some gas left in the tank, you may want to plunk down a few bucks at Pinnacle who are wooing dog chasers with a +250 return.