Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera
Saturday, July 6
Free UFC Pick: Marlon Vera
Recommended Sportsbook: Bovada +130
Marlon Vera is too big of a step up for O’Malley
Sugar Sean O’Malley is a star in the making and the UFC knows it. They are in the business of finding young talent and they push that talent hard. In the best case scenario, you end up with Conor McGregor who was able to take on all comers and rise to the top of the sport becoming a fan favorite and a legend. In the worst case scenario, you end up with Sage Northcutt who has been dropped from the UFC and just had a life-changing KO in a lesser-known promotion because he couldn’t handle the path the UFC had laid out for him.
Sean O’Malley has already captured the hearts of the MMA community and his return is highly anticipated. He impressed on Dana White’s Contender Series and then fought twice in the UFC winning both by unanimous decision. However, the two UFC wins came against Terrion Ware 17-9 and Andre Soukhamthath 13-7. Ware is on a 4 fight losing streak and very likely will not be getting another UFC fight. Soukhamthath is 2-4 in the UFC and might get one more shot at it, but could also get the boot very soon.
Marlon Vera is a “deep end’ fighter who has experience against some of the best fighters in his division. He is violent and durable. He is mean, experienced, and will be able to implement that veteran ability to wade through bad situations to grind out a win in any way necessary. This is a very large step up in competition for O’Malley and I do not know if he is quite ready for it. Even if O’Malley is ready for this test it’s a VERY close fight and I do not believe he should be the favorite in this spot.
Given that O’Malley is going to be a hype train kind of fighter I feel like this line might improve by fight time, so you could get a little more dog money on Vera but I would rather lock in a great price on the fighter that I believe should be favored in this spot just in case other bettors see what I am seeing.