Unleash The Dogs: Four Underdogs Won't Be Kept Down Saturday

Sunday, March 3, 2019 2:24 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 3, 2019 2:24 PM UTC

We are going to put four units on the line with four live dogs and look to win 2-3 and claim a profit at UFC Wichita on Saturday night.

UFC Fight Night 146: Saturday at Wichita, Kansas

Omari Akhmedov vs. Tim Boetsch
Free UFC Pick: Boetsch
Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Tim Boetsch has been an up-and-down fighter attempting to break into the top 5 of the 185-pound division. He has KOs over men such as Rafael Natal, Brad Tavares, and former champion Johny Hendricks. Boetsch is a constant underdog and appears to have fallen into the role of gatekeeper. Omari Akhmedov is 17-4 and is moving up a weight class from 170. Boetsch was a former 205'er who moved down. He will have the size and strength advantage and the last 170-pound fighter who moved up against Boetsch was Hendricks, and he got KO’d stiff.

Ben Rothwell vs. Blagoy Ivanov
Free UFC Pick: Rothwell
Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Big Ben Rothwell finally makes his long-awaited UFC return after getting suspended by USADA for a performance enhancing drug violation. We do know that USADA is not always correct in their suspensions and Rothwell might have been a wrongful victim. Prior to taking his suspension he went 4-1 in his last 5 and looked the best he ever had in his career; he lost to Junior Dos Santos in 2016. Blagoy Ivanov also lost to JDS in his last fight, however, that was in 2018, and let me tell you that is a massive difference. I think Rothwell comes back mad and hungry and if you are losing to JDS in 2018, I cannot trust you for a bet. We will roll with Big Ben.

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getting my post-workout freeze on @HealthCarbon in Madison pic.twitter.com/bsw09NTwng

— Big Ben Rothwell (@RothwellFighter) January 11, 2017
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Niko Price vs. Tim Means
Free UFC Pick: Price
Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Niko Price is looking to rebound off a loss against Abdul Razak Alhassan, where he made a poor choice to brawl with a fighter who we were not aware was an excellent brawler with vicious power. Lesson learned. Price is 12-2 and 29 years old and is facing Tim Means, who opened as the dog in this fight. Means is 28-10 and 35 years old with lots of miles on his body. He has been in the UFC since 2012 and is 3-2 in his last 5. He lost any time he has stepped up in competition and is a bit chinny. If he is looking to get in a fire fight, which he always is, I expect Price to show up and drop him. We are getting the bookmakers' favorite at a HUGE underdog line. I think this is a coin-flip fight with a slight edge to Price, and if we are getting +175 on a coin flip we are going to take it.

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pic.twitter.com/02uB9qJYcz

— Streetfight Bancho (@streetfitebanch) September 4, 2018
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Junior Dos Santos vs. Derrick Lewis
Free UFC Pick: Lewis
Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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We have discussed Junior Dos Santos already in this breakdown, regarding his fights with Blagoy Ivanov and Ben Rothwell. JDS is one of the best heavyweights of all time and has massive wins over legends such as Cain Velasquez, Mark Hunt, and Stipe Miocic. However the JDS we will be seeing on Saturday is not the JDS that won these fights. JDS is 3-2 in his last 5 and that is going back past his fight with Rothwell. He recently TKO'd young rising star Tai Tuivasa but did not look good doing it, and he barely scraped by Ivanov and looked terrible against a fighter who appears to be far past his prime and was picked up to bolster the heavyweight roster based on a very padded record. Derrick Lewis, on the other hand, is also 3-2 over his last 5 but let's look at it from another perspective. In that same window of time that JDS has gone 3-2, Lewis has fought 10 times, going 10-2 with one of those losses coming against current champion and GOAT Daniel Cormier. Lewis is sporting an 83% KO rate and is basically a brick wall coming in at the heavyweight limit of 265 pounds. I believe the wrong fighter is favored in this matchup and I like Lewis to win by KO.

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