Kelvin Gastelum Is Huge Underdog And Value Is All On Him

Sunday, February 3, 2019 1:21 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 3, 2019 1:21 PM UTC

The year's first Pay-Per-View UFC event is a barn burner and the main event is going to be a brawl and we are going to bet on the brawler. 

 

**UPDATE: Robert Whittaker (Injury, Hernia) Off the Main Event**

Record: 10-10-0 for +0.77 units

UFC 234Kelvin Gastelum vs. Robert WhittakerSaturday, February 9, 11:55 p.m. ESTFree UFC Pick: Kelvin GastelumBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

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UFC Fortaleza was a night of finishes and underdogs. It was excellent to watch and bet on. There were some big cashes coming through as the underdogs opened the night going 6-1 and big finishes with 8 fights ending by KO or submission. The best part is that we are finally back in the black as Damien Mia comes through with a first round rear-naked choke bringing our record to 10-10 and bringing our record into positive units after the fiasco that was UFC 232.

UFC 234 is another solid card and luckily we only have to wait one week for it. I dont know about you all but these long 2-3 week gaps between UFC events just kill me. While I will be cheering on the Rams in the Super Bowl the back of my mind will be crunching UFC 234. Lets get into the breakdown of the pick!

Kelvin Gastelum has been #OnAmission4Gold for some time now. He won the Ultimate Fighter by defeating Uriah Hall who at that time was the most over-hyped fighter to have ever come off the show thanks to Chael Sonnen. He is 15-3 and had a few weight issues forcing him to move up from 170 to 185 and that seems to have been a happy accident. At middleweight he is undersized but his speed advantage is something to behold.

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#Repost @kingsmma_hb
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Preparing the machine for the battle field. May God bless us! #ALLGLORYTOGOD #kingsmma #huntingtonbeach #california #usa #ufc #australia @kgastelum pic.twitter.com/RPBVGO25kE

— #OnAmission4Gold (@KelvinGastelum) January 31, 2019
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Kelvin has wins over prime Jake Ellenberger, Johny Hendricks, Jacare Souza, and Michael Bisbing. His only losses have come from fighters who have VERY strong ground games in Neil Magny during his weight issues, Chris Weidman, and current 170 pound champ Tyron Woodley in a controversial split decision. He actually matches up really well against fellow former welterweight Robert “The Reaper” Whittaker.

Whittaker is 20-4 and the current 185 pound champion most known for his 2 wars with Yoel Romero. He won both fights my decision, however the rematch was a split decision and I personally believe that Yoel won that fight. Whittaker is insanely durable in fights but he also has been sidelined with injuries for years basically only fighting once a year. In the two fights with Yoel Romero Whittaker absorbed an insane amount of damage that any mortal man would have succumbed to and somehow managed to stay active enough to take the decisions. I think his last two fights are the key to Kelvin’s victory. Once you got through wars like that you durability is usually lessened in future fights. There comes a time when you just cant take the punches the way you used to and Yoel hurt Whittaker in those fights.

Yoel is dangerous and explosive but mostly inactive and defensive until he chooses to explode. When he does he takes people’s heads off, but Whittaker absorbed the damage and somehow kept coming. Kelvin is exactly the opposite. Kelvin’s gas tank is second to none and he pushes a pace since he is the smaller and more mobile fighter. Kelvin is a volume puncher and overwhelms his opponents and once he has you hurt he goes for the throat. Kelvin’s killer instinct will come into play here and its an underrated part of his game. Both men are strikers, so I don't see Whittaker taking advantage of Kelvin’s weakness and if this fight stays standing for a 5 round fight eventually Kelvin will catch and rock Whittaker. Once Whittaker is rocked he will not be able to avoid the barrage that Kelvin will unleash on him and I see Kelvin walking away the new champion of the middleweight division.

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