Ian Heinisch Has Value As A Small Dog Over Tom Breese

Tuesday, March 12, 2019 10:43 AM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 12, 2019 10:43 AM UTC

Ian “The Hurricane” Heinisch has a massive up side and should be a coin flip in this fight at worst. We are getting a nice value on him as a small underdog.

UFC Fight Night 147

Ian Heinisch vs Tom Breese
Free UFC Pick: Ian Heinisch
Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Ian “The Hurricane” Heinisch is 12-1 and is facing Tom Breese who is 11-1. Both fighters have been impressive up until this point. Tom Breese won 3 straight fights in the UFC before losing a split decision to Sean Strickland in June of 2016. He rebounded in impressive fashion to TKO Daniel Kelly in May of 2018. Ian has only had one fight in the UFC in addition to his impressive KO of Justin Sumter on Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender series but it was a VERY impressive win over Cezar Ferreira.

Prior to losing to Ian, Cezar was 5-1 dropping only a single decision loss to Elias Theodorou who beats EVERYBODY by decision. Cezar has a monstrous ground game and the fact that Ian was able to step into the cage and go toe to toe with him on his first outing shows just how much potential he has. Ian is a physically powerful wrestler who likes to control his opponents physically and then beat them up. He was able to do that over a surging UFC veteran in Cezar in his very first fight in the UFC and when you consider octagon jitters and being on the big stage for the first time it’s a massive achievement to kickstart Ian’s career.

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Tom Breese is on a good run but his last 3 fights do leave room for doubt. His last win was over Dan Kelly who is 41 and on a 3 fight losing streak. Dan Kelly has MAYBE one fight left in him. He plans to retire and his last fight might have been it. His loss to Sean Strickland doesn't really carry any shame, BUT it is a loss. Finally, prior to losing to Strickland, Breese defeated Keita Nakamura who is 3-3 in his last 6. Again, Nakamura was not losing to bad competition, but he isnt lighting the UFC on fire either.

This is a very close fight and I am in no way counting a talented fighter like Tom Breese out here, but I do expect that Ian will be able to overpower him and impose his will over 3 rounds. I also thing that Ian is simply the more raw of the two fighters leaving more room for improvement in his game. I expect him to improve rapidly now that he has reached the UFC and the best fighters in the world will push him to greatness. Take the dog money and hope for another Hurricane!

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