UFC Picks: Finding The Betting Value In The UFC 200 Fight Card

Swinging Johnson

Monday, June 6, 2016 6:00 PM GMT

Monday, Jun. 6, 2016 6:00 PM GMT

UFC 200 will take place in Sin City on July 9th where there is a boatload of tantalizing matchups to pad our bankroll. Let’s take a look at the UFC odds and spot the best of the bunch.

Dana’s Big Showcase
This is a watershed moment in the UFC’s relatively short history. It was supposed to feature the rematch between Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz but that fell through due to McGregor’s ill-timed prima donna meltdown. It’s one thing to bite the hand that feeds you when you are on top but it is another to take your ball and go home after an embarrassing loss. So, Dana White did what any top notch executive would do and froze the featherweight champ out of the organization’s 200th PPV event even after McGregor issued a mild mea culpa. Once the inmates begin running the asylum and dictating terms it signals the beginning of the end. Head UFC shot-caller Dana White is obviously well aware of those consequences.

Thus, White shifted gears and has put together quite a show, a veritable cavalcade of UFC stars, who will be locking horns for our viewing pleasure. McGregor vs. Diaz has been shifted to UFC 202 but Brock Lesnar has been summoned out of retirement to duke it out with 42-year-old Mark Hunt. As of this writing there are no UFC odds on that one but there is a buffet of other top tiered matches to enjoy and profit from in our UFC picks when July 9th finally arrives.


 

Jon Jones (-285) vs. Daniel Cormier
If Jon Jones is back to normal then the rematch should go the way of the initial contest when Jones rag-dolled Cormier en route to a unanimous decision victory. However, Jones did not look like the JBJ destroyer of old in his return to the Octagon after a 16-month absence when he decisioned Ovince Saint Preux back in April. But the fight against Saint Preux only happened due to Cormier’s injury, and subsequent pullout from their slated title tilt at UFC 197. Perhaps that was a fortuitous turn of events for Jones as he only came alive in the latter rounds, though he did win the early rounds as well. But it was from the convincing victory many, including myself, expected and had Cormier been standing on the other side of the cage instead of OSP, it could have been a much different story.

That wakeup call may make all the difference and my money is on Jon Jones to reclaim his title and keep Cormier at bay with his overwhelming reach advantage and vast arsenal of striking skills.

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UFC Pick: Jon Jones -285
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Frankie Edgar (-110) vs. Jose Aldo
The veil of invincibility wasn’t just stripped from Jose Aldo in his last outing against Conor McGregor, it was shattered into a million pieces. Aldo looked like he was facing a man with a machine gun in his hand even before the opening bell. McGregor had clearly won the battle of wills and it took only 13 seconds to make it official. Preparing mentally after a soul-shattering loss like that is tough to do and if you want an example look no further than golf’s Tiger Woods. The moment his public persona was eviscerated and his many extramarital dalliances were exposed and became tabloid fodder; Woods has been a shadow of his former self.

Frankie Edgar is a ridiculously dangerous first opponent for Aldo to take on after his own humiliation. Edgar has dropped down from the lightweight division, where he reigned as the undisputed 155 pound king for almost two years, and has gone undefeated at featherweight since making the switch in July of 2013. The Answer has three finishes in his five undefeated contests at 145 pounds, with his most notable coming via first-round KO of Chad Mendes in his last performance. While I respect Aldo immensely, I will side with Edgar here.

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UFC Pick: Frankie Edgar -110
Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

 

Enrique Marin vs. Sage Northcutt (-295)
Enrique Marin was the runner-up in the Ultimate Fighter: Latin America 2 by split decision. But he is merely a resume builder for the budding superstar Sage Northcutt. As many will recall, Northcutt experienced his first MMA setback when he ran into an unexpected buzz saw in Bryan Barberena five months ago. The Golden Boy could not deal with the tenacity and resiliency of Barberena and was shockingly choked out in the second round.

If there is such a thing as a good loss, that was it as Northcutt made no excuses and took the defeat like a champion. He gets back on track with a hand-picked opponent in the form of Enrique Marin who should pose little risk to the sublimely talented Northcutt.

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UFC Pick: Sage Northcutt -295
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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