UFC Fight Night 115: Accept No Substitutes

Jason Lake

Tuesday, August 29, 2017 6:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2017 6:55 PM UTC

Saturday’s Fight Night card in Rotterdam has flown under the radar, what with all this Conor McGregor stuff going on. That should add some value to your UFC picks.

You can forgive the UFC if it hasn't spent much time promoting Saturday’s Fight Night 115 card in Rotterdam. The organization has been busy hyping up Conor McGregor, to great success I might add. Now that McGregor’s boxing match with Floyd Mayweather Jr. is in the books, it’s back to the Octagon – and back to hammering the UFC odds.

As usual, the words “card is subject to change” apply here. Five of the matches on this card (exclusively on UFC Fight Pass) have already been switched up or removed entirely. Four substitutes have been called in, and all four will be making their Octagon debuts. Fresh meat! Let’s see if we can take advantage of these fortunate/unfortunate souls for our UFC picks.

Mads Avenue

Ideally, we’d love an opportunity to fade Talita de Oliveira in her Women’s Bantamweight match with Marion Reneau. The co-main event Saturday was to be between Reneau and Germaine de Randamie, but the former UFC Women’s Featherweight champion pulled out just last Friday with an undisclosed injury. Sadly for us, there aren’t any odds at press time for Reneau vs. De Oliveria.

Of the remaining targets, Mads Burnell looks ripe for the picking. Burnell will be replacing Islam Makhachev on the preliminary card in a Lightweight bout against veteran Michel Prazeres (22-2 lifetime, 6-2 UFC). It’s a tough spot for the Danish prospect; Burnell is 8-1 on the European MMA circuit and he’s a SOMMA champion, but he’s also making the move from Featherweight on relatively short notice.

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I will be on watch, Islam mackhaev couldn't fight Michael Prazeres. They gave the fight to some Danish guy who isn't ufc level.

— Mohammed Saman (@Kvote2191) August 15, 2017

Burnell will also be facing an undervalued commodity in Prazeres. The 36-year-old Brazilian has a 2nd-degree black belt in BJJ, and he’s coming off four straight wins in the Octagon, earning a performance bonus in March when he made Josh Burkman (+185) tap out to a North-South choke. As sports fans, we’re always happy here at the ranch to see a newcomer to the Octagon make the most out of his or her opportunity. But we’re not betting on it too often.

UFC Free Pick: Prazeres -350Best Line Offered: Bet365
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