UFC 192 Picks: Cormier vs. Gustafsson Prop Betting Markets

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, September 30, 2015 10:10 PM GMT

All eyes will be on UFC 192 at Houston's Toyota Center on Saturday, by a light-heavyweight title bout between champ Daniel Cormier and Alexander Gustafsson.Check our UFC pick inside.

Jon Jones Looms Over Fight
Let's talk about the elephant in the room that somewhat overshadows Saturday's fight and that's the status of former MMA pound-for-pound king and long-time light-heavyweight champion Jon Jones. He was stripped of that title April 28, two days after he ran a red light in Albuquerque and stuck a car driven a local pregnant woman, who suffered a broken arm. Jones fled the accident, only to return shortly after and recover a handful of cash, then promptly flee again.

On Tuesday in  Bernalillo County Court, Jones pleaded guilty to a felony charge of leaving the scene of an accident and was granted a conditional discharge by Judge Charles Brown. Jones must have 18 months of supervised probation and be required to make 72 appearances for various charities and speaking engagements with children.

But what does that mean for his UFC status? Jones was the biggest name in the sport before his suspension -- now it's Ronda Rousey -- and having him in the ring as a villain can only lead to plenty of press coverage. The UFC made a statement after the ruling; president Dana White was in court to support Jones.

“The UFC organization is aware that Jon Jones reached a plea agreement with authorities in Albuquerque, New Mexico, stemming from charges associated with a motor vehicle accident earlier this year,” the release states. “As a result, UFC, through Las Vegas-based law firm Campbell & Williams, will thoroughly review the agreement before discussing Jones’ possible reinstatement to return to competition."

 

Breaking It Down
Both Cormier and Gustafsson have had to answer questions this week about Jones and whether the winner might get to fight him. Gustafsson, a 6-foot-4 Swede who is 16-3, gave Jones the hardest fight of Jones' title reign at UFC 165 in September 2013, with Jones winning by unanimous decision. Jones' final fight in the Octagon was UFC 182 in January, a unanimous decision win over Cormier on UFC odds.

Cormier (16-1), a 36-year-old, 5-foot-11 American, then claimed the open title in May at UFC 187 with a third-round submission (rear-naked choke) win over Anthony Johnson. After dragging Johnson into a turtled position on the canvas, Cormier hopped on his back and sunk in the choke. Johnson eventually tapped the canvas. Johnson was originally scheduled to fight Jones at UFC 187. After the win, Cormier said to Jones: I'm waiting for you!" The former U.S. Olympic wrestler became the first light-heavyweight champion other than Jones since March 2011.

Cormier is 3-1 since dropping down from the heavyweight division in February 2014. He also beat Dan Henderson at UFC 173 by third-round technical submission and Patrick Cummins at UFC 170 by first-round TKO (punches).

Gustafsson lost to Johnson at UFC on Fox 14 in January by first-round TKO (punches). The referee stopped the fight at 2:15 of the first round after Gustafsson couldn't defend himself from strikes on the floor. That was a pretty big upset on UFC picks. The UFC tried for a Jones vs. Gustafsson rematch in September 2014, but Gustafsson had to withdraw due to a knee injury. Cormier took Gustafsson's spot, although it was then delayed until January because of an injury to Jones.

5Dimes offers dozens off MMA props on this one. The 'over/under' rounds is 3.5, with the 'over' a -140 favorite.  That this fight goes the five-round distance is -105, with not at -125. Cormier by five-round decision is +150 and not -180. Gustafsson by five-round decision is +670 and not -1225. A draw +15000.

A total of six of Cormier's wins are by KO or TKO. That he wins that route here is +270. Five of his wins are by submission. That result if +449. Meanwhile, 10 of Gustafsson's wins are by KO or TKO. That result here is +550. By submission is +1428.

UFC Free Picks: Cormier by decision. Thus also bet that the fight starts Round 5 at -121 at 5Dimes

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