UEFA Europa League Picks: Add Dnipro +300 Over Napoli in Leg 2 Semifinals

Nikki Adams

Monday, May 11, 2015 6:27 PM GMT

Europa League odds are cornered in Napoli's camp, will they cruise to the final or will Dnipro spring a surprise? Find out as we preview this clash & serve our soccer picks.

All Tied After First Leg
Napoli conceded a late equaliser in their Europa League semi-final tie with Dnipro, which turns the tie on its head. Make no mistake. Not that soccer bettors can tell however, simply by looking at the Europa League soccer odds board because Napoli remain the supreme favourites to advance into the final at -200 soccer odds. A market stance that belies the current status quo: Dnipro have the advantage of an away goal and home advantage for the second leg.

So, the obvious question is: do the bookies have it right? Are the Azzurri really the smart soccer pick? Or do the hosts have a betting chance to spring a surprise?

 

Napoli Favoured To Advance Into Final
Definitely, there's the touch of optimism about the soccer betting lines. After all, since the last four emerged in the competition, Napoli moved to the top of the favourite's list to win outright.

Matched at +138 futures odds to lift the coveted trophy before the first leg got underway, Napoli were the odds makers' chosen ones for European grandeur. That has changed, however, since the first leg was put to bed. Defending champions Sevilla are now the team to beat at -138 futures odds after trouncing Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg. Meanwhile, Napoli have slipped into second place at +200 soccer odds to win outright, largely down to the fact that their tie is finely poised on a 1-1 draw and, as a result, both sides have a notional shot to reach the final.

 

Dnipro vs. Napoli
As far as the second leg of their tie with Dnipro is concerned, the Italians emerge as the firm -110 favourites to win the second leg. The hosts are severely disadvantaged at +300 soccer odds to win outright and at +150 futures odds to advance into the final.

Dnipro's equaliser in the first leg wasn't without some controversy; the Azzurri are confident it was offside  and that only added to their frustrating night. But that's the way of things sometimes in football and they'll need to get over their feelings of being hard done by before the second leg. Reality is Denys Boyko was doing a fine job between the posts for Dnipro, thwarting Napoli's numerous attempts to keep his side very much in it. And on the defensive side of the ball, the Ukrainians were more than up for the task, going toe-to-toe with some of the world's biggest footballers such as Higuain and Hamsik.

Napoli may be feeling hard done by, but take nothing away from the Ukrainian side. They began their campaign last summer, on July 30 in the third qualifying round. They've played 17 matches to get to this point and have defied the soccer odds for the better part of their campaign. This isn't a side to be taken lightly at all, and they are proving that they belong on one of the biggest stages in Europe. Napoli aren't going to have an easy time of it in Ukraine on Thursday. That you can bet on. If they want to win this tie and advance into the final, they're going to have to take it from Dnipro. Don't expect the hosts to roll over just because the soccer odds are stacked against them.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict:
The soccer betting lines for this game correlate to established perceptions. Napoli are a well known European stalwart, stacked deep with talent, skill and big name talent. Dnipro, by contrast, aren't so well known on the big stage. They're not exactly what you'd call a household name because so few soccer bettors follow Ukraine's top flight league. And that is understandable. What they lack in name and worldwide fame, they are more than making up for it by a standout showing in Europe's second-tier club competition. Reality is they are in an enviable position with an away goal and home advantage. And if their defence continues to thwart the Italians, they could very well advance into the final and send seismic shockwaves through soccer betting circles. In fact, the more we think on it, the more we feel these plucky underdogs are worth the tickle on your soccer picks. Heck, every ball needs a Cinderella. Perhaps, the Europa League final will have its Cinderella this season.

Soccer Picks: Dnipro +300 to win at Bet365 and +150 to advance into the final 

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