UCL Tips Paris-Saint Germain vs. Olympiakos

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 8:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2013 8:05 PM UTC

Paris Saint-Germain and Olympiacos collide in Champions League to decide top spot in Group C. Find out what sportsbooks have on offer in the way of odds and the value soccer picks to be had.

Paris Saint-Germain closing on top spot

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) are closing in on top spot in Group C, needing but a point to clinch, an advantageous position that equates to staggering -6600 future odds to win the group in Champions League betting markets. Fortunately, they are already assured a position in the knockout phase and that should take some of the pressure off this game.

Olympiacos however trail by three points and a win in Paris therefore would throw a spanner into the works. However, sportsbooks list them at rather large +900 future odds to win Group C, which suggests, in no uncertain terms, how tough a task it really is going to be. On the flipside, they are the favourites to join PSG in the knockout phase at -800 soccer odds at Bet365.

The pair opened their opened their bids when they collided on match day 1 in Piraeus, Greece. PSG ran away 4-1 winners with Thiago Motta scoring twice to lift the French side to victory. PSG went on to defeat Benfica 3-0 and steamroll Anderlecht 5-0 in Brussels. Only match day 4 saw the Parisian’s let up with a surprising 1-1 draw to Anderlecht in the nation’s capital. A hiccup they’ll be looking to address at the expense of visiting Olympiacos.

PSG are a comfortable 3-1-0 in group action, which includes a 1-1-0 home record. They’ve scored 13 goals across four matches, which yields a 3.25 goal per game average. And they’ve conceded just two goals.

Odds makers install PSG as the runaway favourites at -600 soccer odds to win at home but the Greeks should prove to be a much tougher test than the odds would suggest. PSG can’t afford any complacency or else they’ll find their dominance challenged.

Going against PSG is the fact that two of their glittering stars are coming off a rather trying week in International soccer. Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Edinson Cavani both answered the call of national duty for World Cup action –  the former featuring in the Sweden vs. Portugal World Cup playoffs bout while the latter appearing in the Uruguay vs. Jordan Intercontinental playoffs. Travel (jet lag) and gruelling scheduling which includes the coming weekend’s Ligue 1 match against Reims on the road (it remains to be seen whether the pair will be rested against sixth-placed Reims on Saturday) will surely take its toll on the pair.

Olympiacos are receiving no favours from sportsbooks listed at hefty +800 soccer odds to win outright in Paris. Even the draw is listed rather far at +400 at Bet365. But Olympiacos, who are 2-1-1 in the competition, have room for optimism. They already surprised in the competition by edging Benfica in the table following a draw and win over the Portuguese side (second short odds on favourites by many sportsbooks at the start of the competition to advance into the knockout phases).

Momentum is firmly on their side and they are intent to make a statement in Paris. Three points are at stake here, three crucial points that could turn the table on its head. You can bet they’ll try to capitalize on the fact that Ibrahimovic and Cavani might be weary on the night.

Soccer Betting Verdict:

While sportsbooks are casting this affair lopsided, we feel it might be closer than they would suggest. PSG surely have an idea of what they are up against but that wider lack of recognition in sportsbooks offers some angles for profit. We do agree with bookies that PSG should win – they’re undefeated at home this season, a fact that should serve them well –and that makes them a good bet at -600 to win outright. But to add value to this soccer pick we’re going for the Under 2.5 at +110 because there is a lot at stake here for both sides. Both will be looking for the win and Olympiacos has the edge on defence to hold PSC to a low-scoring affair.

Soccer Free Picks: PSG to win outright at -600; Under 2.5 at +110

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