UCL Semifinals Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid (Leg 2): Preview, Prediction and Picks

CR7 Atleti Real

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, May 9, 2017 8:40 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 9, 2017 8:40 PM UTC

Real Madrid humbled crosstown rivals Atlético Madrid in Leg 1 last week, 3-0. So expect a frenzied pace from the start with the hosts needing a quick goal to light the flames of their small hopes for this last ticket to be punched to the UCL Final against Juventus.

Odds Preview

Wednesday, May 10, 2017—Semifinals, Leg 2

It will be the last European match ever held at Vicente Calderón Stadium on Wednesday when Atlético Madrid host Cristiano Ronaldo and crosstown rivals Real Madrid in Leg 2 of their UEFA Champions league Semifinal series. Sportsbooks have no real favorite here with Real Madrid currently the slightest chalks (+165) at Sportsbetting.ag in the Three-Way market over Atlético with the hosts slight favorites in most shops with a Draw priced in the +220 (Sportsbetting.ag) to +265 (BetPhoenix) range with the Total at 2½ (Over -133, GTBets). Real Madrid won Leg 1 last Tuesday, 3-0.


Real Madrid CF

UCL holders Real Madrid (-120 to Win UCL, Intertops) often seem like part club, part machine the way Los Blancos always attract the top talent, play sound Defense with a deadly attack and rally for late goals like no other side on the continent. In this tourney, Cristiano Ronaldo—who has 8 goals in his L3 UCL games—and Real Madrid has gone an unbeaten (8-3-0, 31 GF-15 GA) in matches averaging 4.18 gpg with none of the 11 seeing less than 3 goals. In Leg 1, Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane had a Starting XI (4-3-3-3) of: GK Navas; Marcelo, Varane, Ramos, Carvajal; Modric, Casemiro, Kroos; Ronaldo, Benzema, Isco. Carvajal (Hamstring) and Gareth Bale (Calf) will miss with injuries.


Atlético Madrid

Manager Diego Simeone and Atletico Madrid (50/1 To Win UCL, Intertops) always seem to end up playing Real Madrid to try to get to some massive endgame, only to have their crosstown rivals usually moving on or winning a title or piece of silverware, so, with the new stadium, Atléti may eventually move up to the level of Euro super-club like Madrid, Barcelona, Juventus and Bayern Munich. In Leg 1, Los Rojiblancos employed a Starting XI (4-4-2) of: GK Oblak; Luís, Godin, Savic, Lucas; Carrasco, Ñíguez, Gabi, Koke; Gameiro, Griezmann. Juanfran (Match fitness) may start in Atléti’s back line.

 Madrid Weather, Expectations and Picks

The TWC forecast for Madrid on Wednesday night is calling for a 50% chance of Rain, a Low near 50° F with SW Winds 10 to 20 mph, so, it may be wet and wild at The Calderón for this big finale. With CR7 (Anytime Goalscorer +100, Bet365) in such a groove and intent on helping Madrid win La Liga (84 points, tied for 1st place with Barcelona), repeating as UCL title holders and then in trying to help his native Portugal capture the coming 2017 Confederations Cup in Russia next month, this club will be tough to dethrone. Backing Marcelo and Los Blancos in the PK and Three-Way markets seems wise with the Over seeming like the best overall pick here because of perceived nervous Pace from the hosts chasing 3 goals in such a familiar Situation (UCL), Site (Home) and Opponent (city rival Real Madrid).

 PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Atletico Madrid 1 Real Madrid 3FREE SOCCER PICKS: Over 2½ , Real Madrid PK , Real Madrid +170 FREE PROPS PICK: Cristiano Ronaldo Anytime Goalscorer +100Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes & at Bet365 (props)

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