It’s Bastille day in France, but unless Arnaud Demare can sprout wings, the French won’t have much to celebrate today.
<h2 style="text-align:center">TOUR DE FRANCE 2018 STAGE 8</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Dreux to Amiens Métropole</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday 14th July, 181kms</h2><p>Groenewegen finally came to the race today with a bit of a surprise win, he easily beat the hot favourite Gaviria and Sagan, it was surprisingly easy for him. The TDF last visited the town of Amiens back in 2015, when André Greipel outsprinted Peter Sagan and Mark Cavendish, will we see the Gorilla on top again this time? Dylan</p><p> </p><p><strong>The Route</strong></p><p>Another flat, boring stage in store, one that only the sprinters are looking forward to. If there was a strong cross-wind there could be a chance that we saw echelons, but with only a 5mph headwind forecast, that doesn’t look likely.</p><p>As they come off the last downhill section with 2kms to go they turn sharply left and again turn left on a roundabout with just 500m to go. The last 500m are slightly uphill, but almost imperceptible, around 1%.</p><p><img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5b4914a7aa35fe00adec3d84/original-TDF-stage-8" style="width:872px;height:409px" /></p><p><strong>Analysis and Picks</strong></p><p>Here we go again, another sprint finish, will it be Groenewegen again or will Gaviria or Sagan fight back?</p><p>The break might make it with lots of teams maybe thinking about saving energy for the tough stage on Sunday, but a bunch sprint finish is still strongly the most likely outcome, and we’re likely to see more of the same again from the main protagonists.</p><p>Dylan Groenewegen was very impressive today, he surfed the wheels just behind the front guys, letting them bump and push each other around and then cruised through to comfortably take the win. With that speed he finally displayed today, you’d have to make him favourite again tomorrow with QSF thinking about Sunday.</p><p>Fernando Gaviria let down his backers today, he just didn’t have the speed and QSF just didn’t seem to get it as right as they have in the past sprints.. Maybe they are tiring a little, or are trying to save themselves for Sunday too.. But he is bound to be involved again tomorrow, it’s a coin toss now between him and Groenwegen.</p><p>Peter Sagan was the closest to the top two again, but he too looked to be lacking the top speed today to beat Groenewegen. It would be understandable if he’s getting a bit tired too, he has been flying on every stage so far. I think he will be 3rd or worst again tomorrow.</p><p>Andre Greipel was disappointing in 8th today, he’ll probably be somewhere similar, so look to maybe back him in-play with <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4702&book=Bet365" title="top rated sportsbook">Bet365</a> in their ‘4th to 9th finishing position’ market.</p><p>Arnaud Demare got a lot closer today and might just be timing it right to peak for this big sprint on Bastille day. 4th behind Sagan could turn in to a podium finish tomorrow, he might be worth a shot to do it for France..</p><p>Christophe Laporte, John Degenkolb and Daryl Impey were good today, I certainly didn’t expect Impey in the top 10, but I can’t see them getting closer tomorrow. And Alexander Kristoff, Sonny Colbrelli, Mark Cavendish and Marcel Kittel were all pretty disappointing, they never really got in to it.</p><p>The rest will not be breaking in to the top 3 unless a big crash takes out most of those named above, so I’m not going to even mention who else to consider.. Your sprint winner comes from those named above, most likely from Dylan Groenewegen or Gaviria, and the way he took it today I’d lean towards Groenewegen. But he’s no price at +$150, I’d rather go with Arnaud Demare each-way and hope he pulls off a Bastille Day Bonus for us.</p><h2 style="text-align:center">Selections</h2><p style="text-align:center">1pt e/w on Arnaud Demare at +$1100 <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4702&book=Bet365" title="Live odds for this race">with Bet365</a></p><h2 style="text-align:center">Matchbet</h2><p style="text-align:center">Colbrelli to beat Arndt and Greipel to beat Kristoff in a double – 2pts at 11/8</p>