Tour de France Stage 5 Preview: Lorient to Quimper

Tuesday, July 10, 2018 6:54 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 10, 2018 6:54 PM UTC

A tough, rolling stage over 204 kilometres, with five categorised climbs in total to test the GC men's mettle on Wednesday in the Tour de France.

<p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{152}" paraid="1793436811">It was a quiet Tuesday in the Tour de France, which ended in an exciting sprint finish, with our man Fernando Gaviria getting up to win on the line from Peter Sagan and Andre Greipel. It was a chaotic sprint again with riders all over the place in the last 3 kilometres, and the break gave them a real scare, the peloton only caught them with 1km to go.</p><h2 paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{219}" paraid="1507771275">Stage 5 Route</h2><p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{223}" paraid="900964352"><img alt src="https://images-production-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5b45017eaa35fe00adec3d4a/original-tour-de-france-stage-5" style="width:600px;height:312px" /></p><p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{231}" paraid="1186655694">They head north, south, east and west during this stage, so any winds that are blowing will buffet them from all angles. As they descend towards Quimper they have three little hills to get over, then pass through the B Bonus point spot with just 12kms left. The road rises a little with 2kms to 1km to go, then kicks up for the last kilometre, a stinging 10% for 600 metres, then eases back to around 2.7% for the last 400m.</p><p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{231}" paraid="1186655694">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;📺 Flat stage made for the sprinters and in the end Gaviria wins the great battle ➡ Watch the summary of stage 4 of Le Tour 2018!&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/TDF2018?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#TDF2018&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/0rWvHlJ2MM\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/0rWvHlJ2MM&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Le Tour de France (@LeTour) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/LeTour/status/1016738017275531265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;July 10, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{231}" paraid="1186655694">Contenders</h2><p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{241}" paraid="977439927">As this is a sort of cross between a Flanders stage and an LBL stage, with lots of little bergs, then we have to look at some of the Classics specialists for a finish like this, I think.</p><p paraeid="{40358fc1-62ec-4926-a1d4-5a21961840a6}{251}" paraid="11801193"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/" title="Free Sports Picks">Peter Sagan is the obvious choice</a>. He will love this course and he'll probably try to break it up long before the finish to test the others and then he'll like this finish, too. Will the 600m at 10% be too steep for him? Probably not, and once they are over that, they'll be pretty strung out and he'd he a strong contender from what's left at the front of the peloton.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{2}" paraid="468478828">Julian Alaphilippe is another obvious one. He'll fly up that steep part, he'll have Jungels and Gilbert and Lampaert to get him in position and he should be one of the first 20 as they enter the last 500m. He doesn't have a bad sprint on him either, so he's another one for the short list, for sure.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{16}" paraid="253727538">Greg Van Avermaet will feel very much at home on this route too, and if wasn’t in the yellow jersey I’d have fancied him to attack on the rolling in the last 25kms. But as he’s in yellow, he won’t be let go, but I wouldn’t count him out at the finish. We have seen him outsprint Sagan on uphill finishes, like in St. Flour a few years ago. But he’ll fight all the way to keep his yellow jersey.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{32}" paraid="220404570">It might not be the Mur de Huy, but Alejandro Valverde is sure to be interested in this finish. Movistar could in fact have 3 or 4 guys right at the front of this race coming in to the last kilometre -- Landa, Valverde, Soler and maybe even Rojas could be involved, but Valverde is probably their best option.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{48}" paraid="1381828422">Sunweb have Michael Matthews with a chance, if he can hang in there. It’s slim, but not impossible, as we’ve seen him win two tough stages last year similar to this one.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{74}" paraid="2120803184">Mitchelton-Scott also have two good candidates here with Adam Yates for the tough steep part, and Daryl Impey for the uphill sprint finish. Impey is in good form and could go very close here I think. He has the team to support him and I really fancied him for this until he took a tumble on stage 2, but he did finish with the TTT squad on Stage 3 so he must be feeling pretty good.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{98}" paraid="418004888">Dan Martin might go well on this stage too. We know what he's like in the Ardennes; he's similar to Alaphilippe and Vuillermoz for a finish like this. He will have to attack hard on the 10% section though and try to get a gap, but that's going to be really hard with the opposition here.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{116}" paraid="1022444339">Primoz Roglic is probably LottoNL's best chance on this stage, as he is very strong, but maybe he'd like the final hill to be longer. Tiesj Benoot, Jelle Vanendert and Jens Keukeleire are three guys I expect to be involved coming in to the final 2kms, and it might be that Lotto Soudal take up the pulling to try to launch Benoot in the closing kilometres. But watch out for Vanendert too -- he won on a rolling tough course of the Belgium Tour a few weeks back, and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/" title="Sports Betting Odds">he could be a real darkhorse here at a decent price</a>.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{164}" paraid="1855317582">Fernando Gaviria and Arnaud Demare will be on the limit, but they might be able to hang in there too but might not have much of a kick left.</p><p paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{178}" paraid="190327620">It's a really hard one to call, but Sagan has to be on the short list, even if he is short at just 7/4, as does Van Avermaet, Alaphilippe, Matthews, Colbrelli and Impey. There are loads of others who could be involved, but it might all come down to who navigates through those narrow roads the best in the last 2kms. And we know there aren’t many better than Sagan at navigating tricky finishes.</p><h2 paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{216}" paraid="1622541497" style="text-align:center">Free Cycling Picks:</h2><h2 paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{220}" paraid="1298188202" style="text-align:center">2pts win on Peter Sagan at +$175 with Bet365</h2><h2 paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{232}" paraid="324274393" style="text-align:center">0.5pts e/w on Sonny Colbrelli at +$1000 with Bet365</h2><h2 paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{242}" paraid="2109448987" style="text-align:center">0.25pts e/w on Daryl Impey at +$5000 with Bet365</h2><h2 paraeid="{244c5f95-cee0-4ebc-95cd-20137919ee7c}{254}" paraid="17487574" style="text-align:center">Best Lines Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4702&amp;book=Bet365" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bet365</a></h2>
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