Top Tennis Picks on ATP London Finals Day 3: Berdych vs. Nishikori

João Mourato

Monday, November 16, 2015 10:12 PM GMT

Berdych and Nishikori will try to bounce back after losing the first match. Join us while we analyze this match and provide our top tennis betting selection.

Tomas Berdych (6) vs Kei Nishikori (8)
Kei Nishikori seemed recovered from his abdominal injury however there wasn’t much he could do against Novak Djokovic. The Serbian is just unstoppable at the time, defeating the Japanese by 6 – 1 6 – 1.

Despite losing by such a heavy result is important to mention that Kei had several opportunities to close his service games, but Nishikori didn’t seem to believe in himself against such a strong opponent.

As we mentioned in our Day 1 Top Play, Tomas Berdych has been too erratic and once again struggled to perform at a consistent level, losing by 4 – 6 2 – 6 against Roger Federer.

Berdych ended the match with very poor numbers, placing only 44% first serve, 10 winners / 14 unforced errors and winning just 6/11 points at the net. The courts are quite slow on the O2 Arena and Berdych felt the need to go for stronger services, which was one of the reasons for his lower % of first serve in.

Although they played couple of exhibition matchs in 2014, the last official contest between this pair was in 2012 with Nishikori emerging victorious. The Japanese leads 3 – 1 on h2h with Berdych’s single victory occurring on clay.

Nishikori is a tremendous counter puncher and likes to face powerful hitters like Berdych. It will be very hard for Tomas to win fast points in such slow courts and against one of the quickest players on tour.

The price on Nishikori is too high for this contest, there is a clear overreaction on his heavy loss against Djokovic, but this will be a completely different match. The match-up is quite good for Nishikori and there is clear value on him for this match. Our suggestion is to take advantage of Kei’s value and we’ll add Nishikori’s tennis odds to our tennis picks.

Tennis Pick: Kei Nishikori (+149) at Pinnacle

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