Top Plays For ATP Australian Open Day 5

Tomas Berdych

Thursday, January 19, 2017 8:15 PM GMT

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP Australian Open. Find out our top tennis picks for Day 5 and why you should place these two valuable tennis picks.

 

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Tomas Berdych (10) vs. Roger Federer (17)

The Australian Open is Roger Federer’s first official tournament since his defeat against Milos Raonic in Wimbledon six months ago. Federer was very fortunate with a draw since he faced two qualifiers in the first two rounds – Jurgen Melzer and Noah Rubin. After losing one set on his debut against the Austrian, Roger was very close from dropping the third set against Rubin. Looking now to Federer’s numbers, the Swiss ended the match with only 11 winners and 37 unforced errors from the baseline. Despite this weak performance from the baseline, Roger fired 17 aces and won 82.76% of the points played at the net.

With an outstanding 43 – 13 career record, Tomas Berdych clearly enjoys the game conditions in Melbourne. The Czech is always a dangerous player on this event with six consecutive appearances in the quarter-finals. After playing only one set on his debut against Luca Vanni, Berdych booked a place in this stage of the competition after a straight sets victory against Ryan Harrison. Tomas served at a very high level throughout the whole match, placing 64.00% first serves in and winning 89.53% of the points played with his first serve.

These two players know each other well with Federer winning 16 of their previous 22 meetings.

Despite Roger’s lead on the h2h, the four-time Australian Open champion is clearly far from his best. Berdych is never an easy opponent to face with his powerful groundstrokes creating many problems to Federer’s backhand. Adding to these, there are also some concerns about Roger’s physical condition in a long match. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Berdch’s betting odds by placing a bet on him to win the match.

Free Tennis Pick: Tomas Berdych ML (+155)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (12) vs. Jack Sock (23)

Playing on Grand Slams clearly brings the best out of Jo-Wilfried Tsonga with the French holding an outstanding 75.00% winning record on major events. Adding to this, Tsonga’s numbers in Melbourne are even more impressive with the 2008 runner-up winning 78.05% of the matches played throughout his career on this tournament. Looking now to Tsonga’s campaign this week, the world no.12 reaches this stage of the competition after two solid victories over Thiago Monteiro and Dusan Lajovic.

After winning his second ATP title last week in Auckland, Jack Sock booked a place in the Australian Open 3rd round for the first time in his career. Contrary to what we expected, Sock dismissed Karen Khachanov in straight sets in the previous round. Even though Jack was far from impressive with 40 winners and 45 unforced errors, Khachanov couldn’t perform at a good level with 28 winners / 40 unforced errors and only 11.11% break points won.

This will be the 3rd career meeting between these two players with Tsonga emerging victorious from their two previous encounters – the last one at the US Open just a few months ago.

As the h2h suggests, Tsonga clearly holds the edge over this opponent. Despite Sock’s improvement in recent years, the American still struggles to perform at a consistent level, which is usually fatal when facing the top players. Due to Tsonga’s higher experience on Grand Slam events and recent victories against this opponent, we advise you to add the French to your betting picks.

Free Tennis Pick: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga ML (-159)
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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