Top Play on ATP London Final - Djokovic vs. Federer

João Mourato

Saturday, November 21, 2015 11:43 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015 11:43 PM UTC

Djokovic and Federer will fight for ATP World Tour Finals glory this Sunday. Join us while we analyze another chapter of this epic rivalry and provide the highest value bet for the contest.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Roger Federer (3)
As we mentioned in our semifinals preview, Roger Federer had a slow start against Stan Wawrinka but managed to recover from a break down on first set. Federer play with a very offensive mindset, moving up to the net as often as he could with 24/32 net points won. Roger’s numbers on serve also improved, with 64% first serve in, 76% and 65% points won on first and second serve, respectively. Despite Federer’s solid performance, is important to mention that Wawrinka was extremely erratic and far from strong mentally.

After couple of less achieved performances on round-robin stage, Novak Djokovic found his best tennis to overcome Rafael Nadal in straight sets. It was an outstanding performance from the Serbian, not facing a single break point and play at a very consistent level. Djokovic played at a very aggressive level, not allowing Nadal to dictate the rallies. The key for Novak’s victory was his ability to play solid tennis and at the same time knowing when to pull the trigger.

They played earlier this week at round robin stage where Federer emerged victorious by 7 – 5 6 – 2. In our tournament analysis, we predicted that Djokovic might struggle to find the best motivation for that match and that’s exactly what happened. The Serbian ended that contest with awful stats: 12 winners / 22 unforced errors, winning only 51% of points with first serve.

This time things will be different with Djokovic bringing his best tennis to the court. The Suisse can always give a good fight to the world no. 1 but Djokovic solid groundstrokes and defensive skills should be too good for Federer.

For the last match on the ATP Tour this year, we’ll add Djokovic spread tennis odds to our tennis picks.

Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -3 (-118) at Pinnacle

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