Top Play on ATP London Day 1: Federer vs. Berdych Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Sunday, November 15, 2015 12:25 AM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 15, 2015 12:25 AM UTC

Find out our analysis for this Sunday at ATP World Tour Finals. We'll provide the highest value tennis bet for the first day of the last tournament of the year on ATP Tour.


Roger Federer (3) vs. Tomas Berdych (6)
As we predicted in our ATP Paris preview, Roger Federer wasn't fully motivated for that event and suffered an early loss against John Isner. The Suisse is always a strong contender in London and he's the player with better chances to defeat Novak Djokovic.

As we mentioned in our tournament analysis, Federer's game style suits the Indoor Hard Court conditions with his offensive game being extremely effective.
Roger will be looking for a strong start on this competition and will try to keep the good level of serve after winning 94.1% of his service games in Basel and Paris.

After a poor loss in his first Indoor match, at St. Petersburg, against Simone Bolelli, Tomas Berdych improved his results with a recent title at Stockholm and losing only against Djokovic at Paris. However, the Czech has struggled to perform at a consistent level, with several early losses in recent months. Tomas is a very unidimensional player and when he's far from consistent, like he has been lately, it's very hard for him to compete against the top players.

Federer leads the h2h by 14 – 6 with two easy wins earlier this year. Berdych tries to explore Roger’s one-handed backhand with his powerful groundstrokes, but the Suisse’s backhand slice is always very tricky for Tomas.

Despite playing at a very decent level against Djokovic in Paris, Berdcyh level has been quite low since Roland Garros. Berdych likes to have rhythm from the baseline but Federer won’t give and pace to the Czech with his backhand slice and serve & volley.

Federer might cover his -4 spread at +114 on Pinnacle however, the game conditions are quite fast and there is always the possibility of a tiebreak. The tennis odds on Roger’s set handicap is lower, -133 also on Pinnacle, but the Suisse knows that every set counts on this competition and this seems to be the best bet to add to your tennis picks.

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