Three-Man Chase for Race to Dubai at European Tour Finale

Matthew Jordan

Monday, November 13, 2017 5:41 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 13, 2017 5:41 PM UTC

The most interesting golf tournament this week isn’t on the PGA Tour but in Europe as three players will be vying to win that Tour’s Race to Dubai at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai.

The PGA Tour of course has its four-event FedEx Cup playoffs that conclude the golf season in America at the Tour Championship. Justin Thomas won the FedEx Cup and the $10 million prize that goes with it back in September. The European Tour has a similar structure that is called the Race to Dubai, which concludes the 2016-17 wraparound season on that Tour.

The final event is this weekend at the DP World Tour Championship at Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai. Only three players can win the Race to Dubai and hold claim to be the No. 1 player in Europe, not to mention a ton of cash. Those players are Englishmen Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose, and Spaniard Sergio Garcia.

At Bovada, Fleetwood is the -400 golf betting favorite to win the Race to Dubai as he has a comfortable lead in the points. He could have clinched the season title with a win at the Nedbank Golf Challenge last week but finished 10th. The simplest way for Fleetwood to win the Race to Dubai would to win the tournament, and he’s +2000 for that. Or Fleetwood would win the title simply by finishing tied with or ahead of Rose and Garcia. Fleetwood finished T9 in this tournament last year at 12-under 276. That was his first time playing it. He has led the Race to Dubai standings for most of the season following his win in Abu Dhabi in January.

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Rose is the +600 favorite to win the DP World Tour Championship and +275 for the Race to Dubai – he won the latter in 2007 when it was called the Order of Merit and based on money won. Rose, who finished runner-up in this year’s Masters, hasn’t won the DP World Tour Championship but was second by two shots to McIlroy in 2012. Rose enters having won his past two events worldwide, the Turkish Airlines Open and WGC-HSBC Champions.  Rose can’t finish worse than solo fifth this week to have a shot at the season-long title. He would take it with a solo second as long as Fleetwood doesn’t win the tournament.

Sergio, the 2017 Masters champion, is +1200 to win the tournament and +2500 for the Race to Dubai. For the latter, Garcia would have to win this tournament, have Fleetwood finish outside of the Top 20 and Rose finishing worse than T4. Garcia was T19 at this event last year. He has three European Tour wins this year, which includes the Masters.

Either Henrik Stenson or Rory McIlroy has won the Race to Dubai the past five years but both are dealing with injuries this year and not playing in the tournament. The last player other than those two to win the Race to Dubai was former world No. 1 Luke Donald of England in 2011.

The defending tournament champion is Matthew Fitzpatrick. He finished at 17-under 271, one shot ahead of fellow Englishman Tyrrell Hatton. Fitzpatrick is +1400 to repeat. Stenson is the only player to do that here (2013-14). There is no cut in this limited-field event. There are a few Americans playing – Patrick Reed is the +135 favorite to be the top US finisher.

Free Golf Picks: Fleetwood For Race to Dubai, Charl Schwartzel (+2200) For TourneyBest Lines Offered: Bovada
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