This Driver Will Win NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series Title at Miami ...

David Schwab

Friday, November 17, 2017 2:32 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 17, 2017 2:32 PM UTC

It has been an exciting year of NASCAR Cup Series racing in Monster Energy’s first season as the title sponsor. Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway, the season comes to an end with the running of the Ford EcoBoost 400. Four drivers can win the championship. 

Starting at 3 p.m. (ET) Sunday on NBC, NASCAR’s final field of four will put it all on the line in one final trip around the track for this year’s Cup Series Championship. The following is a closer look at BetOnline’s odds to win both Sunday’s race at Homestead-Miami Speedway and this year’s racing title for the top four drivers in that championship field.

Martin Truex Jr.                                                 

NASCAR’s most successful driver this season got things started early with a victory at Las Vegas in mid-March. Since that point, the No. 78 Toyota has gone on to win six more times in a Cup Series point race to go along with another 11 runs inside the top five to lead the way in both of these categories. This dominant performance was capped off with eight runs inside the top five in the first nine playoff races, including victories at Chicago, Charlotte and Kansas. Truex’s odds to add one more victory to this total have been set at +225, with +175 odds to win his first career Cup Series racing title.

Kyle Busch

It took a victory at Homestead-Miami in 2015 for Busch to lay claim to his first career Cup Series racing title, and last year he ended up third in the final standings last year with a sixth-place finish in this race. His betting odds to win again on Sunday are set at +350, and his odds to win his second-career title are set at +200. The No. 18 Toyota dialed things up over the second half of the season with five trips to Victory Lane, starting with a win at Pocono in late July. Three of those wins came in the 10-race playoff at New Hampshire, Dover and Martinsville to land Busch in this championship field.

Kevin Harvick

Even though the No. 4 Ford has just two wins this season, Harvick is back in the championship field because of his recent victory at Texas to earn an automatic bid into Sunday’s title race. This has not been the 2014 Cup Series champion’s best season over the course of his 17-year career racing at NASCAR’s highest level with an average finishing position of 11.3. However, with three straight runs inside the top five, including that win two weeks ago, Harvick is back in championship form. His odds to win Sunday’s race have been set at +500, and his odds to win a second-career racing title are set at +250.

Brad Keselowski

You could say that the No. 2 Ford snuck into this championship field in light of last week’s 16th-place finish at Phoenix, but its accomplishments on the track up to that point were good enough to give Keselowski a shot at winning the second Cup Series racing title (2012). He does have the longest odds of the four at +800 to win this race and +400 to win the championship. Working against the value in these odds is an average finishing position of 15.9 at Homestead-Miami Speedway in a Cup Series race.

Top-Valued NASCAR Championship Pick

When it comes to betting on this Sunday’s race, I am going to stick with the favorite all the way. Truex has clearly been the top driver with the fastest car all season long, and I really like the value in his odds to seal the deal with a victory at Homestead-Miami to bring home the Cup.

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