The PGA Tour season is on pause but golf fans still have something to watch this Thanksgiving weekend. We break down The Match V between Brooks Koepka and Bryson DeChambeau with our top picks.
Team USA’s win at the Ryder Cup was believed to have put an end to the Brooks vs. Bryson rivalry; however, it has been reignited this week ahead of Capital One’s The Match V. Friday’s exhibition match at Wynn Golf Club in Las Vegas will pit Koepka and DeChambeau in a 12-hole match for the extra bragging rights this back-and-forth hasn’t seemed to need.
Whether their long-running feud is derived from a pure dislike for one another or with help from the PGA Tour’s Player Incentive Program, the jabs have ranged from DeChambeau’s pace of play, Koepka’s (lack of) abs, and major trophies.
Here are my outright and prop picks for The Match V: Brooks vs. Bryson (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
The Match V Info
The fifth edition of The Match is the first one-on-one version since the original between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson at Shadow Creek Golf Course in Las Vegas in 2018. Since then, former and current NFL quarterbacks Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, and Aaron Rodgers, past and present NBA stars Charles Barkley and Stephen Curry, and even DeChambeau himself, have joined in on the fun.
Here are the details, including how to watch, for the fifth running of the made-for-TV spectacle:
When: Friday, Nov. 26, 4 p.m. ET
Where: Wynn Golf Club, Las Vegas, NV
How to watch: TNT, TBS
Format: 12 holes (max), standard match play
Wynn Golf Club Betting Profile
The Tom Fazio design measures a modest 6,722 yards and plays to a par of 70. It’s unlikely to intimidate the two former US Open champs and eight-time PGA Tour winners.
However, an abundance of trees and water hazards could disrupt their plans of attack. Especially under the abbreviated 12-hole format, penalty strokes will be extra punitive.
The Match V Odds
BD = Bryson DeChambeau
BK = Brooks Koepka
The Match V Picks
To win: DeChambeau (-116 via FanDuel) ★★★★
Longest tee shot Hole 1: DeChambeau (-180 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
To win Hole 1: DeChambeau (+250 via DraftKings) ★★
To lead first: DeChambeau (-115 via BetMGM) ★★★
The Match V Pick to Win
DeChambeau’s the pick to win and the best price is at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last season’s PGA Tour leader in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee per round (1.22) hasn’t played yet on the 2021-22 season. He comes into The Match V well-rested, fully healthy, and quite likely the more motivated of the two rivals.
Koepka, the four-time major winner, has battled knee and wrist injuries over the last couple of years. He played four events on the Tour’s fall swing, but with two missed cuts in his last two events and without a finish better than his T-38 at The CJ Cup.
Underdogs have a good history in The Match, but we can back the favorite on Friday.
The Match V Prop Picks
DeChambeau longest tee shot Hole 1 (-180)
This is the safest bet of The Match, and it doesn’t really matter on what hole we’re backing DeChambeau.
As noted above, he led the Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee last season, and he most recently participated in a long drive competition following the Ryder Cup. Koepka is averaging just 0.29 SG: Off-the-Tee per round through his 10 measured rounds to start the 2021-22 season.
DeChambeau to win Hole 1 (+250)
The better profit opportunity comes with backing DeChambeau to win Hole 1.
We’re relying heavily on motivation in Friday’s exhibition, but we can also trust in DeChambeau’s health. Koepka has frequently expressed frustration amid his struggles this fall, and he’s sure to already be looking ahead to the major season.
DeChambeau to lead first (-115)
Again, we’re on DeChambeau to capitalize on Koepka’s recent struggles and take the first lead of the match.
DeChambeau had only the slightest edge over Koepka in Round 1 scoring average last season at 70.19 to 70.20, but Koepka’s coming off back-to-back missed cuts and has been especially struggling with his usually sharp iron play.
Picks made on 11/25/21 at 8:20 a.m. ET.