Tennis Predictions: Can Rafael Nadal Win His First 2017 Title in Monte Carlo?

Joao Mourato

Monday, April 17, 2017 7:15 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 17, 2017 7:15 PM UTC

Join us on our Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters tournament analysis that takes place this week. Find out who the main contenders are as well as the players to keep an eye on this event.

ATP Monte Carlo

The Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters takes place in Monte Carlo with Clay as the chosen surface for this Masters 1000 event.


Defending Champion

Known as the best clay-court player of all time, Rafael Nadal is always a serious contender to win any title when playing on this surface. Nadal’s record in Monte Carlo is a great example of that with the nine-time champion winning 93.75% of the matches played throughout his career on this event. Even though Nadal is still looking for his first title in 2017, the Spaniard is going through a great moment with an impressive 19 – 5 record so far this season.

Looking now at Rafael’s draw in Monte Carlo, the world no.7 won’t have an easy task with very dangerous players on his quarter such as Alexander Zverev and Grigor Dimitrov. Adding to this, Nadal might also face Novak Djokovic in the semifinals. Despite the tough draw ahead of him, it’s impossible to go against Nadal when playing on clay. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the defending champion to your betting picks to win his 10th career title in Monte Carlo at +225 at Bet365.


Main Contenders

Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic return to action after withdrawing from the Miami Open due to physical problems. While Djokovic already played two weeks ago in the Davis Cup quarterfinals, this is Murray’s first appearance since his disappointing defeat at the BNP Paribas Open 2nd round against Vasek Pospisil.

As we mentioned before, Djokovic is in the same half of the draw as Rafael Nadal and the two might face in the semifinals. However, Novak still has to overcome several tough challenges before that potential clash. Besides the difficult debut against Gilles Simon, the Serbian can also face Dominic Thiem in the quarterfinals. Adding to this, Djokovic is still trying to find his best tennis in 2017 after winning only 62.50% of the matches on the ATP World Tour since the Australian Open. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to avoid placing any bet on Djokovic’s outright at +250 at BetVictor.

After reaching the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters semi-finals last season, Murray is trying to go a step further this season. Even though clay is far from Andy’s favorite surface, the world no.1 clearly improved his level on the red dirt in recent years. Murray’s numbers since 2015 show that with the British winning 89.74% of the matches played on clay. Taking a look now at Andy’s draw in Monte Carlo, Stan Wawrinka and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga are the main threats to Murray in the top half of the draw. Even though neither of the two is an easy opponent, this is a great opportunity for Andy to reach his first career final in this event. Therefore, there is good value on Murray’s betting odds to reach the ATP Monte Carlo Final at +162 at Bet365.


Player to Keep an Eye

Playing on clay brings the best out of Pablo Cuevas. Besides his brilliant 66.67% career record on this surface, all of Cuevas’ six titles on the ATP World Tour have come on clay. The Uruguayan is going through a very good moment in his career with a superb performance in the opening round against Viktor Troicki.

João Sousa is Pablo’s next opponent and the two will meet this Tuesday with a place in the 3rd round at stake. Despite Sousa’s 3 – 1 lead on the h2h, Cuevas destroyed the Portuguese on their previous encounter on clay three years ago. The slow court conditions in Monte Carlo clearly benefit Cuevas on this match-up, which makes him a valuable play to win this match at -200 at William Hill

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