Tennis Picks: Wimbledon Women's Quarterfinals Odds & Preview

Nila Amerova

Monday, July 1, 2013 7:52 PM GMT

Join us as we preview the ladies quarterfinal matchups at Wimbledon Championships 2013 and deliver our verdict on the best picks to win the tournament outright.


Wimbledon 2013 Betting – Ladies Singles Quarterfinals Predictions and Picks

It’s been a wild Wimbledon on both the ladies and gentlemen’s side with upsets galore. On the ladies front, the top three seeds – who were also the top three favourites to win the title according to the odds makers – are all out of the tournament before the quarterfinals, including defending champion Serena Williams. ‘Who will win the tournament?’ just became an even more intriguing question than it was at the start of the tournament. One thing is certain: it’s a wide open affair and, at this point, it’s there for the taking by any of the remaining eight ladies.

Giant slayer Lisicki is now the top favourite to win the title

In masterminding the biggest upset on the women’s side, Sabine Lisicki transcended the Wimbledon outright win market at Bet365. Now she’s the top favourite to win outright at +275, a mere fraction shorter than former Wimbledon champion Petra Kvitova at +300. Standing in Lisicki’s way to the final is Kaia Kanepi (+2500) in the quarterfinals and then in the semi-finals either Li Na (+450) or last year’s runner-up Agnieszka Radwanska (+600).

Of the top two favourites in the draw, Lisicki now has the tougher path to the Wimbledon final on paper. Kvitova, who takes on Kristen Flipkens (+2500) and then potentially either Sloane Stephens or Marion Bartoli (both tipped at +800), would appear to have the slightly easier traipse. How quickly things change in a week.

Top half of the draw odds and overview

Lisicki is set to bid for a spot in the semifinals against Kaia Kanepi on Tuesday, what will be the pair’s first meeting. Naturally, Lisicki’s performance against Serena Williams not only improves her stock in the overarching Wimbledon market but also in her upcoming match where she’s installed as the -275 favourite over Kanepi at +225 at Bet365.

The current World No.24 Lisicki is notoriously a streaky player. However, she’s also notorious for her big upset wins at Wimbledon – she was always the dangerous floater in the top half of the draw to spot and so she proved worthy of that label. On the merit of her last performance, she should be able to beat Kanepi however players can suffer from a post upset hangover. Without going into the psychology of it all, suffice it to say that more often than not the player to mastermind the upset usually falls in the next match.  In which case, Kanepi at +225 would appear to be the attractive play.

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Kanepi (current world No. 46) is having a modest season with a 14-6 mark ahead of Wimbledon. She competed in the Birmingham warm up event but went out to Roberta Vinci in straight sets. Having said that, Kanepi is after beating British hopeful Laura Robson in two tight sets and playing against both Robson and the home crowd which was rooting for her cannot have been easy. Shows character.

In the other quarterfinal matchup, World No.4 Agnieszka Radwanska and World No.6 Li Na are set to collide. Li holds the 6-4 head-to-head edge lifetime which includes 4-2 edge since 2012. However, they’ve split their two meetings this year with Radwanska beating Li at Sydney and Li returning the favour at the Australian Open. Fittingly for the marquee matchup in the top half of the draw, the market on it is rather close with Li Na listed as the -150 favourite over Radwanska at +120.

Quarterfinal picks and predictions

Both matches in the top half of the draw are to a large extent a tossup with value on both sides of the coin. For our part, while Lisicki definitely underscored her label as the dangerous floater with her big win over Serena, we’re plumping down to Kanepi’s plum betting odds of +225 to win. As far as Li Na and Radwanska go, it’s a tough call. Power versus finesse? It could go either way but we’re leaning towards last year’s finalist Radwanska at +120 for the win in a tough three setter. If your pick is Li Na, we won’t be offended.

Bottom half of the draw odds and overview

Petra Kvitova and Kirsten Flipkens are set to decide a spot in the semifinals on Tuesday. Odds makers send the Czech starlet into this match as the -225 favourite presumably down to her previous Wimby success and higher ranking because recent form – Wimbledon aside – reveals her to be rather inconsistent. Her grass court account ahead of Wimbledon amounts to a paltry 1-1; and since May, she’s produced a 5-4 win-loss mark.  On the other hand, Flipkens, listed at +175, has the 2-1 lifetime H2H edge over Kvitova, which includes a three-set win in Miami earlier this year. Moreover, Flipkens had a solid warm up to Wimbledon going 5-2 with a runner-up finish in Netherlands.  

Sloane Stephens and Marion Bartoli will go head-to-head for the final semifinal spot in what is the tightest market of all the quarterfinals. Stephens is listed at +100 while Bartoli is listed at -125. The latter was a runner-up at Wimbledon in 2007 after beating one of the tournament favourites Justin Henin in the semi-finals. Sloane Stephens however is an up-and-coming American player who earlier this year dealt Serena’s bid a blow at the Australian Open quarterfinals.

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Quarterfinals picks and predictions

Kvitova is streaky and inconsistent but when she’s on, she’s tough to beat. She was our dark horse tennis pick at the onset and so we are sticking with her to advance into the semis at -225. To add value to her odds we like her to do it in three sets which can be found at +250 (we did say she was streaky after all). Finally, as far as Sloane Stephens vs. Marion Bartoli goes, we really like Sloane Stephens to accomplish the feat. That she reached the Aussie Open semis will serve as good experience for her here.   

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