Tennis Picks: Wimbledon Men's Semi-finals Odds & Preview

Nila Amerova

Thursday, July 4, 2013 12:06 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 4, 2013 12:06 PM UTC

Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray are on a collision course at the Wimbledon Championships. Will the pair set a date in the final or is there an upset on the horizon. Join us as we preview the semifinals and deliver our tennis picks and predictions.

Check out our tips and picks for the Wimbledon Women's Finals.

Novak Djokovic and Juan Martin Del Potro set up blockbuster semifinal

Arguably, the clash between Djokovic and Del Potro in the semifinal is the marquee match of the day’s betting card, although the tennis odds are rather lopsided tipping Djokovic the massive favourite at -900 at Bet365 all the while Del Potro is tipped at +550.

Novak Djokovic, the odds makers’ favourite to win the title on come Sunday at -150, goes into the semifinals on a rich vein of form having not dropped a set throughout the tournament. He takes an 8-3 head-to-head edge over Del Potro as well, which includes a run of four straight wins since the Cincinnati Masters last year. Del Potro, who is listed as the large +1400 underdog to win the title, however owns the last meeting between the pair – he beat Djokovic at Indian Wells this year in the semifinals before finishing runner up to Nadal. As well, Del Potro took the only grass court match played between the pair. That was the Olympics Bronze medal match which he won in straight sets 7-5, 6-4.

On balance, Djokovic would appear to be the smart play at -900 however the return isn’t anything to rave about. For those inclined to back Djokovic, the value plays will be found in the prop market. Djokovic to continue on his rich vein of form and take the match in straight sets is the favoured outcome in the market set at a -138 price tag – which is a decent choice for your tennis picks. A four set match win is going for a tempting +250 while a five set marathon win for Djokovic is listed at +650.

Del Potro is by no means a fool’s pick so to speak. Just because the odds makers price him rather large for this match is no reason for punters to shy away from placing a wager on him in anyway shape or form. Given that he’s beaten Djokovic on grass, albeit in a best-of-three-scenario, augurs well for him. Certainly, he’ll go into this match fancying his chances after having done it at the All England Club last year.

In the 2009 US Open final, Del Potro was at the similar disadvantage against Federer. The odds were stacked against him and few really believed he would pull it off even though he did have the quality to do it. But lo and behold, he did. And what a great moment that was for him and tennis as a whole.

Since that maiden major victory however, Del Potro’s career has been plagued with injuries and inconsistency and he’s never made it back to a Slam final. There have been eye-catching results: big wins over big players on big stages but for every virtuoso performance there have been several uninspired flops and inexplicable losses – for example, defeats to Benoit Paire and Jarkko Nieminen this year to name a few. Now, Del Potro is on the cusp of making it to another final – a long overdue feat by his standards and quality. There is no doubt that he can beat Djokovic but it remains to be seen whether he’ll actually do it this Friday at the most prestigious grand slam.

Andy Murray and Jerzy Janowicz to decide a spot in the final

Andy Murray, the odds makers’ second favourite for the title listed at an attractive +180 to win outright, has what would initially appear to be a straightforward matchup on paper in the semifinal. Jerzy Janowicz is in unchartered territory – his first ever Slam Semifinal. It follows naturally that a Wimbledon final appearance then would be another first in his career and taking it a step further to win his first-ever Grand Slam title he’s priced the largest of the semifinalists at +1800 at Bet365. But is it as straightforward as it would seem and as odds makers make it out to be?

Murray and Janowicz are level 1-1 head-to-head lifetime. The No.1 Brit won the first meeting between the pair in 2009. Janowicz leveled he score in their second meeting last year at the Paris Masters R16, coming back from behind to win in three sets 5-7, 7-6 (4), 6-2. In fact, the Paris Masters was the tournament that signaled Janowicz’s arrival on the scene as a valiant threat to the big wigs. The rising Polish star then came out of nowhere – emerging from the qualifying rounds only to navigate a course into the final against all the odds and beating five top 20 threats along the way before losing to David Ferrer in straight sets. So Janowicz definitely shouldn’t be underestimated. He’s got nothing to lose and he could give Murray a run for his money.

In fact, Fernando Verdasco did just that, taking the first two sets off Murray in the quarterfinals before Murray launched a heroic comeback to win in five sets. That Murray was tested in the quarters hasn’t hurt his stock value overly in the market as he goes into this match as the solid -600 favourite to Janowicz, listed as the +400 underdog. Then again, this market is rather contained compared to the previous market between Djokovic and Del Potro, each is a grand slam champions in his own right.

As far as additional value markets for this semifinal, the odds makers price a straight set win by Murray the shortest at +100 while a four set win is listed at +250 and another five-set epic is going for a tempting +550. The market on Janowicz is rather interesting as a straight set win is priced the highest at +1200 while a four or five set win is going for +1000 respectively.

Tennis Betting Picks: Del Potro in five sets over Djokovic and Andy Murray in four sets over Janowicz.

comment here