Tennis Picks Of The Day: Top Value For Australian Open Day 5

João Mourato

Wednesday, January 20, 2016 7:56 PM GMT

The third round gets underway this Friday and we’ve selected two high value tennis picks. Find out our ATP and WTA Top Play for the Australian Open Day 5.

Carla Suarez Navarro (10) vs Elizaveta Kulichkova
As we predicted in our Day 3 Main Favorite Spread Analysis, Carla Suarez Navarro had a tough match against Maria Sakkari, needing to comeback from a set down to overcome the young Greek player. Suarez Navarro keeps struggling to find her best tennis, ending the match against Sakkari with 29 winners / 44 unforced errors. If Carla was facing a more experienced player she wouldn’t probably be here, but Sakkari wasn’t able to take advantage of her chances, converting only 2 of 13 break points.

It has been a great week for Elizaveta Kulichkova, with the 2014 Australian Open junior champion reaching the third round of this event on her first main draw appearance. After surprising the 22nd seed, Andrea Petkovic, the Russian emerged victorious in a three sets clash against Monica Niculescu. It was a tremendous battle, but after 2:36 hours on court the 19 years old player sealed the deal, finishing the match with 33 winners / 61 unforced errors.

Kulichkova is a super aggressive player and her stats on the match against Niculescu show that, but her positive mindset and self-belief makes her a very dangerous opponent. With Carla performing so far from her best, it wouldn’t be surprising to see her losing this match against such a tough opponent. Elizaveta’s tennis odds have very good value, but due to her inconsistency, we suggest adding the Over and her spread to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Elizaveta Kulichkova +4.5 (-108) & Over 21.0 (+108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Marin Cilic (12) vs Roberto Bautista Agut (24)
After needing five sets to defeat Martin Klizan on the first round, Roberto Bautista Agut had to play once again a fifth set to overcome Dusan Lajovic. It wasn’t the best performance from Agut, but the Spaniard finished the match at a very good level. Roberto will be looking for his second career appearance at Australian Open 4th round, after reaching that stage in 2014.

Marin Cilic keeps far from the level he presented at the US Open in 2014. The Croatian had a very tough first round, where he was set and break down against Thiemo de Bakker, but the Dutch couldn’t keep the good level. On the second round another difficult match for Marin, defeating Albert Ramos-Vinolas by 6 – 4 6 – 3 7 – 6. Cilic is clearly struggling to be consistent on baseline rallies, ending the match against Ramos-Vinolas with 37 winners / 30 unforced errors.

This will be the third meeting between these two players, with Cilic leading 2 – 0 after two victories in Moscow, both by 6 – 4 6 – 4.

This should be a closer contest than odds suggest, from the baseline Agut is more consistent and Cilic’s serve isn’t so effective on this slower courts. Despite losing those two previous matches in straight sets, Agut always gave a good fight and should have done better in both matches. In 2014, Agut missed all 6 break points he had and Cilic converted 2 on 4, while in 2015 the Spaniard missed all 4 break point chances and Cilic got 2 on 2. With this in mind, we expect a very close contest and advise to bet on the Over.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 40.0 (-108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle