Thailand Open Betting
Top seed Tomas Berdych heads up the charge in Bangkok and he’s also the bookmakers’ favourite at +125 to win outright at Bet365. But as far as tournament favourites go, the Czech starlet isn't a safe option for your sports picks by any stretch of the imagination. To have only won 8 titles over an eleven-year pro career, in which he’s been for the most part inside the Top 20 mind and with the kind of organic talent he possesses, is rather disappointing. It’s one of the main reasons why we can’t in all honesty recommend him at all in the outright winner market.
Now this doesn’t mean that he isn’t capable of winning this title. On the contrary, he has the skills and talent to beat just about anybody including the top players on a good day, and so he might prove us wrong here.
We don’t think so. That’s what so frustrating about him really. That he flatters to deceive all too often as a favourite. Some have gone as far as to criticize him for lacking motivation and ambition. But it’s not for us to decide why he’s not winning more titles than he is. Suffice it to say he isn’t winning many – hasn’t won one yet this season –and that’s a mark against him that can’t be ignored. As well, keep in mind that Berdych is coming off Davis Cup duty for the Czech Republic and fatigue could be another factor that contributes to his early demise in Bangkok.
So if Berdych doesn’t strike a convincing pose in Bangkok then who does? Well, there are several great alternative tennis picks to consider. Such as an in-form Gilles Simon (+800 to win outright), who is after winning in Metz at the weekend and looking to carry the momentum over; Mikhail Youzhny (+1200) who is a wily veteran; or Richard Gasquet, who’s playing some the best tennis of his career this year and comes into this event as the defending champion aptly priced as the +350 second favourite to win outright. Some outside players to spot include big-serving Ivo Karlovic who is always a dangerous floater (+3300), Igor Sjisling (+4000) and Robin Haase (+2800).
Milos Raonic is the tennis odds third favourite at +500. The indoor hard court conditions suit his game fine and that is partly why he’s quoted so short but the Canadian is still just a-serve-and-a-forehand kind of player and that doesn’t cut it in a quality field such as the one assembled in Bangkok. That and being after a grueling Davis Cup tie against Serbia in which he slightly sprained his ankle makes us believe he’s not worth his quoted price tag. Feliciano Lopez, who is in his quarter and could challenge him for a spot in the semis, appears a much better value pick at +1600 at Bet365 by comparison.
Tennis Free Picks: Richard Gasquet at +350 for best outright value, while Mikhail Youzhny at +1200 or Feliciano Lopez at +1600 ring in best for a longer shot play.