Tennis Picks for Men's 2014 Australian Open Semi-Final

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, January 22, 2014 7:02 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2014 7:02 PM UTC

The Men’s 2014 Australian Open semi-finals are upon us and it’s an intriguing final four that has assembled Down Under. Join us as we breakdown the matchups and deliver our tennis betting verdict.

Make sure to check out our Tennis Picks for Women's 2014 Australian Open Semi-Final

Tomas Berdych and Stanislas Wawrinka are set to battle for spot in the Australian Open final tonight.  Neither player has ever featured at the penultimate stage in Melbourne, let alone the final. So who will emerge victorious from this intriguing clash?

Sportsbooks are backing Nadal vs. Wawrinka at +150 at Bet365 to reach the final, closely followed by Nadal vs. Berdych at +225 tennis odds. The all-Swiss affair meanwhile is listed at +350 while Federer vs. Berdych is the long shot final scenario at +450 at Bet365.

Do they have it right?

Here’s our analysis for the first semi-final clash between Berdych and Wawrinka complete with tennis free picks.

Tomas Berdych vs. Stanislas Wawrinka
Match Time: 3:00 AM EST, Thursday 23 January, 2014

Tennis Betting Verdict

Last year, Wawrinka lost to Djokovic in the R16 of the Australian Open, 12-10 in the fifth set. At the US Open, Wawrinka once again succumbed to Djokovic in a five-set marathon in the semi-finals. He then went on to also lose to Djokovic at the Paris Masters and the Barclay’s ATP Tour Finals, finishing 2013 with a 0-4 head-to-head record against Djokovic, which extended his lifetime record to 2-15 against the Serbian starlet.

When the Australian Open draw was released, the potential of yet another clash between this pair, which loomed in the quarterfinals, was greeted with nervous anticipation. Experts and pundits alike speculated whether Wawrinka (now listed at +500 on the tennis odds board to win outright at Bet365) could finally get one over Djokovic at the majors. So he did. In splendid fashion, dismissing Djokovic in five sets 2-6, 6-4, 6-2, 3-6, 9-7.

Stanislas Wawrinka proved he was beyond moral victories when he beat three-time defending champion Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals in a five-set marathon. Problem is, though, his job isn’t done yet. Beating Djokovic was a brilliant accomplishment but alas he’s still two-match wins away from the ultimate prize, the only thing that matters: winning the Australian Open. And standing in his way of the final is Tomas Berdych (tipped at +1000 to win outright), against whom he enjoys a favourable 8-5 head-to-head record, which includes a 3-1 edge on 2013. The only match Wawrinka lost to Berdych last year was in Davis Cup action.

Berdych reaches the semis with a four-set victory over World No.3 David Ferrer. Truth be told, Berdych fell into a favourable section of the draw and made light work of it to book his spot in the final four. The advantage for him is that he’s the fresher player in the pair and that could pay dividends especially after Wawrinka’s marathon against Djokovic.

Tennis Betting Verdict

As far as tennis-betting markets go on the semi-final clash between Wawrinka and Berdych, bookies favour the Swiss No.2 slightly. Wawrinka is listed as the -138 favourite to win outright while Berdych rings in as the soft +110 underdog at Bet365.

Yet this match could go either way and so there is value on both sides of the coin. Berdych is a dangerous floater that can’t be underestimated. He’s been to a major final before (Wimbledon) and so he knows what it takes to reach that stage.

Wawrinka will have all to do to back up his win over Djokovic with a victory over Berdych in order to advance into his first-ever final. But if he’s aggressive and decisive as he was against Djokovic and, more importantly, if he has anything left in the tank, he’s our choice tennis pick.

Free Tennis Picks: Wawrinka to win outright at -138 at Bet365. 

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